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WHO WILL WIN ANDHRA PRADESH?
Politicsparty.com is conducting a Voters Attitude Poll in all the 42 Lok Sabha Seats and 294 Asembly Seats of Andhra Pradesh to understand the probable Results in the Next Elections.
The Findings will be displayed Next Week, after analysing the Statistical Data.
BIRTDAY GIFT TO SONIA For Now, as a Birthday Gift to Congress President Sonia, we will Explain to You the "As of Now" Electoral Situation in Telangana.
On Sonia's last Birthday on 9 December 2009 a Sudden Midnight Announcement was made on Telangana, creating a Political Havoc, never before witnesed in Andhra Pradesh.
WON WITHOUT TELANGANA In the 2009 Elections there was a Pro-Telangana Mood among the Telangana Voters, but it was NOT aggressive.
The INC Chief Minister YSR was against the splitting of Andhra Pradesh in to Smaller States. Yet the INC won 52 Seats out of the 119 Seats in Telangana.
The Victory of the INC led by YSR deflated the Telangana Mood almost completely.
This is because the Telangana Alliance of TDP-TRS-Communists, was defeated by the Sonia Congress.
The Campaign for Telangana disappeared from the Streets and the Minds of Voters.
MIDNIGHT IGNITION On December 9, 2009, the Congress Party led Central Government, through the Home Minister P.Chidambaram made a Sudden Midnight Statement, that the Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister has ben directed to Move a Resolution in the State Assembly to start the Proces of the creation of the Separate State for Telangana.
The Sonia Congress thus after winning the Elections in 2009, for reasons known to itself, made a Midnight announcement on Telangana, without any preparation by the Home Ministry, Central Coalition, Union Cabinet, Rashtrapati, Parliament and its own MLAS & MPs.
PATRIOTIC FERVOUR In this One Year, The Telangana Passion has overwhelmed each and every Telangana Origin Voter.
There is an Intense Patriotic Fervour in the Mind of Every Telangana Voter, for the creation of a New State by splitting Andhra Pradesh.
The Telangana Fervour wil subside ONLY if the new State of Telangana is created.
TWO DISTINCT AREAS Telangana has Two Portions.
AREA ONE:
The Area that is intensely populated by Telangana Origin People Only.
AREA TWO:
The Area that is populated by a Mixed Population of Telangana Origin and Non-Telangana Origin.
NUMBERS There are 17 Lok Sabha and 119 Assembly Seats In Telangana.
AREA ONE in Telangana has 11 Lok Sabha Seats and 77 Assembly Seats.
AREA TWO in Telangana has 6 Lok Sabha Seats and 42 Assembly Seats.
CONTESTANTS Telangana will witness an Electoral Contest by Candidates contesting as Party Candidates of:
NATIONAL & STATE OUTFITS: FIVE
INC: Indian National Congress led by Sonia Gandhi.
BJP: Bharatiya Janata Party led by Nitin Gadkari & RSS.
LF: Communists led by Prakash Karat and Bardhan
TDP: Telugu Desam Party led by N.Chandrababu Naidu.
RC: Rebel Congress Party (Yet Un-named) led by Y.S.Jaganmohan Reddy
TELANGANA OUTFITS: SIX TTDP: Telangana Telugu Desam Party which will be born in 2011by Breaking away from Chandrababu Naidu.
TRS: Telangana Rashtra Samiti led by K.Chandrasekhara Rao.
TPF: Telangana Peoples Front led by Maoist backed Gadar.
YT: Yuva Telangana led by Reddy
MIM: Majlis Ittehad Musalman led by
Independents
The TDP and the Communists will be in Alliance. All Others will contest on their Own.
There will be a Minimum of 10 Candidates in Each Constituency.
4 from the State-National Outfits. 6 From the Telangana Outfits.
TWO SCENARIOS The current Voting Mood in Telangana will actually depend on the Scenario at the Time of Elections.
There are Two Scenarios.
SCENARIO ONE:
The Central Government does not Split the State of Andhra Pradesh.
SCENARIO TWO:
The INC led Central Government creates the Separate State of Telangana.
SCENARIO ONE: NO TELANGANA If the Sonia Congress scared of losing the 25 Lok Sabha Seats and 175 Assembly Seats in the Andhra Region, does not create the State of Telangana:
In AREA ONE:
The State-National Outfits will NOT win a Single Seat in the Assembly or Lok Sabha.
The Telangana Outfits will win all the 11 Lok Sabha Seats and the 77 Assembly Seats in AREA ONE.
IN AREA TWO:
The Telangana Outfits will win 15 Seats in the Assembly.
The Rebel Congress will win 15 Seats in the Assembly and 5 Seats in the Lok Sabha.
The MIM will win 7 Seats in the Assembly and One Lok Sabha Seat.
The Sonia Congress will win 5 Seats in the Assembly.
The Chandrababu Naidu led TDP will NOT win a Single Seat.
The BJP will Not win a Single Seat.
The Telangana Patriotism will uproot the Presence of the State-National Outfits.
SCENARIO TWO: NO TELANGANA
If the Sonia Congress decides to lose all the 25 Lok Sabha Seats and 175 Assembly Seats in the Andhra Region and creates the State of Telangana:
If the INC had Not Split, then it would have won 100 of the 119 Asembly Seats and 14 of the 17 Lok Sabha Seats, in the Telangana Region by huge Margins.
The INC has Now, split. The Votes will be decided among Congress and Rebel Congress Candidates.
The Sonia Congress will win 60 of the 119 Assembly Seats and will win 9 of the 17 Lok Sabha Seats.
The Rebel Congress will win 35 Assembly Seats and 5 Lok Sabha Seats.
The Telangana Outfits will win 24 Assembly Seats and 3 Lok Sabha Seats.
The Telangana Patriotism will cool down, vaporising the Telangana Outfits.
The Sonia Congress and the Rebel Congress will dominate the Vote Share and Seats Share, almost vaporising all other Political Outfits.
PSEPHOLOGY LATER
The above assessment is based on the current mood of the Voters in Telangana, based on Ground Level Inputs from Reliable Time-Tested Sources in the 17 Lok Sabha Seats of Telangana.
Politicsparty.com will Present the Results of its scientific Psephological Study of the Voters Attitude Poll next Week.
COMMITTEE REPORT The Srikrishna Report will submit its Report by 31 December 2010.
Everyone in Andhra Pradesh Believes, that the Report will be Dictated by the Union Home Ministry, as per the orders from the Congress Party.
If the Report does Not Recommend the splitting of Andhra Pradesh to create Telangana:
There will be a tremendous Violent reaction all over Telangana against the Sonia Congress and all the State-National Outfits.
MIRACLE STRATEGY TO RULE INDIA Congress President Sonia will have to evolve a Miracle Strategy to win most of the 42 Lok Sabha Seats in Andhra Pradesh.
Otherwise the Sonia Congress will Lose the Central Government.
FINISHLINE The Huge Sonia Birthday Dilemma on 9 December 2010 is:
To Split Andhra Pradesh To Give New State of Telangana.
OR
To Keep Andhra Pradesh united by Not Giving a New State for Telangana.
For Today, Politicsparty.com Wishes Sonia
HAPPY BIRTHDAY |
