DOCTOR SWAMY

It is probably time for Jayalalithaa to confer with Dr Subramaniyam Swamy, to bring down the DMK Government.

The last time that Jaya trustingly consulted Subramaniyam Swamy, he delivered by toppling the Vajpayee Government in 1999.

Jayalalithaa needs the Tamil Doctor to diagnose and dispose the DMK Cancer afflicting Tamilnadu.

ANTI-DMK MOOD

The Voters' mood in Tamilnadu is completely hostile to the brazen corruption and naked Nepotism by the Karunanidhi Family.

The Voters will definitely throw out the DMK Government in the 2011 Assembly Elections.

HOME ALONE

Soniason Rahul was keen on the Congress Party contesting Elections on its own, in all the 234 Assembly Constituencies of Tamilnadu in the 2011 May Assembly Elections.

Rahul is correct, in the sense that the Congress Party vote share will go up to almost 30% and the strength would increase to above 50 MLAs in the 234 MLAs Assembly.

Those who advised Rahul on going it alone might have assumed that No Party would get a Majority.

The Congress Party could then demand to lead the Government or impose President’s Rule for 6 months and go in for fresh Elections.

In Fresh Elections the Congress Party numbers would increase further.

That assumption is horribly wrong.

If the Congress Party contests the Elections on its own, then the AIADMK will get a Two-Thirds Majority, with the DMK getting drowned in the Bay of Bengal .

Sonia has wisely ruled out the Bravado Strategy of contesting Alone.

GLUE OR BREAK

Sonia is under pressure from both the factions in the Tamilnadu Unit of the Congress Party.

One Faction wants Sonia to continue to be glued in to the Alliance with the trusted time-tested Ally Karunanidhi’s DMK.

The Other faction wants Sonia to break with the "About to Lose the Elections" DMK and to wisely Align with the AIADMK.

Sonia is not in any hurry to take a decision.

Sonia will delay the decision for putting the DMK under a tough bargaining pressure to concede more seats to the Congress Party.

JAYA JAYA SONIA

AIADMK (All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam) Chief Jayalalithaa is desperately wooing the Congress Party functionaries in Tamilnadu and New Delhi .

Jayalalithaa is doing her very best to seduce Sonia, to break alliance with the Karunanidhi DMK and to align with the AIADMK.

Jayalalithaa is apprehensive that the DMK-Congress Alliance might miraculously survive in the Elections, by misusing the Administrative Power, to rig the Results in many Constituencies.

Clever Jayalalithaa has Two Strategies.

JAYA-SONIA ALLIANCE

Jayalalithaa's Priority is Strategy ONE:

Jayalalithaa wants the fructification of the AIADMK-Congress Alliance .

Jaya is confident that such an Alliance will win 200 of the 234 Constituencies.

ANTI-DMK-CONG ALLIANCE

Jayalalithaa's Strategy TWO:

Jaya wants to unite all the Political Forces outside the DMK-Congress Alliance .

Jaya has already got the AIADMK in Alliance with MDMK, CPM, CPI and a Dalit Party.

Jaya is trying through intermediaries to woo the Actor-Politician Vijayakanth. His DMDK has a vote share of over 10%.

If Jayalalithaa and Vijaykanth have an Alliance then they will win almost all the 234 Assembly Seats.

KARUNANIDHI FOXES SONIA

The Congress Party wants and is trying to forge an Alliance that includes both Karunanidhi and Vijaykanth.

Karunanidhi is opposed to Vijaykanth getting a Big Share of seats.

Karunanidhi wants to contest 150 of the 234 Seats.

Karunanidhi wants the Congress Party, PMK, Vijaykanth and others to share the remaining 84 Seats.

Karunanidhi would thus get back the Government to install his son Stalin as the Chief Minister.

VIJAYAKANTH HATES KARUNANIDHI

Vijaykanth is opposed to backing Karunanidhi and his Family, for the Post of Chief Minister.

Vijaykanth is still undecided on choosing an Alliance Partner.

If Vijaykanth contests without any Alliance then he will not win more than One Assembly Seat.

SONIA OFFER TO VIJAYKANTH

The Congress Party too is wooing Vijaykanth.

Vijayakanth has been assured by the Sonia System, that he will be given a large number of seats in a DMK-Congress-Vijaykanth Alliance .

The Congress Party would also fund Vijaykanth Candidates' campaign expenses.

Vijaykanth wants the Congress Party to project him as the Chief Minister.

Sonia will not be able to project Vijaykanth as the Chief Minister, while being in an Alliance with the DMK.

FLIRTING

Vijaykanth might take a Final Decision on Aligning with Sonia or Jayalalithaa, a month before the Elections are announced.

Vijaykanth is flirting with both the Congress Party and AIADMK trying to increase his bargaining power to secure a Better Deal.

Vijayakanth has not yet decided to settle down with one of them.

Vijaykanth might finally end up, getting used by the Congress Party, to divide the Anti-DMK Votes to defeat the AIADMK.

JAYA 100

Jayalalithaa has offered the Congress Party, 100 Assembly Constituencies out of the 234. That is a Huge Portion.

An irresistible offer, that has got all Tamilnadu Congressmen excited enough to throw of their Lungis and swim in the Bay of Bengal .

The AIADMK will contest 110.

The Vaiko's MDMK and the Communists would contest 24 Constituencies.

If Sonia accepts the Jaya offer, it will be an AIADMK-Congress Government, for sure, after the Assembly Elections, with Karunanidhi dumped in to a Tamil dustbin.

CONGRESS APPETITE

The Jaya offer of 100 Seats to the Congress Party, is twice the Offer of 50 seats by Karunanidhi.

The Tamilnadu Congressmen are delighted with Jayalalithaa's offer of 100 seats.

They are sure that the Congress Party will win almost 90 seats, to be in the reckoning to have its own Chief Minister.

More and More Congressmen are flocking to the "Alliance with Jayalalithaa" Lobby.

JAYA HO

Jayalalithaa is working through the Tamilnadu Congress President Thangabalu to mobilise a decision by Sonia to Align with the AIADMK.

Thangabalu and the AICC Incharge of Tamilnadu Ghulam Nabhi Azad are close pals.

They both have been offered a Gift of 50 crores to psyche Sonia in to agreeing for an Alliance with the AIADMK.

Ghulam is an infamous guzzler, with an unending appetite for crores.

Ghulam is trying all his tricks for Sonia to say "Jaya Ho"!

LAST BREATH!

If Karunanidhi dies, months before the Elections, then it would be no longer viable for the Congress Party to Align with a DMK led by Stalin, Azhagiri and Kanomozhi.

Karunanidhi refuses to die.

Every time Karunanidhi breathes his last, he breathes again.

Enmity with Jayalalithaa, inspires Karunanidhi, to never stop breathing.

FINISHLINE

If Karunanidhi lives, then the Congress Party will sink with the DMK, in the 2011 Assembly Elections.

If Karunanidhi dies then Sonia might think of either the Rahul Option of contesting Alone or the Jayalalithaa offer to Align with the AIADMK.

SONIA STAYS WITH KARUNANIDHI

Congress President Sonia has decided that the DMK-Congress Party Alliance will continue in the Tamilnadu Assembly Elections in May 2011.

Sonia has thrown in to the dustbin all the suggestions, by a group within the Congress Party, to Break alliance with the DMK.

ANTI-DMK WAVE

Many Congresspersons in Tamilnadu are convinced that there is anti-DMK wave building up among the voters in Tamilnadu.

These Congressmen feel that the rampant corruption, brazen Nepotism by the Karunanidhi Family, acute Electricity Shortages and failure to provide Governance has angered the Tamil Voters.

KARUNANIDHI FAMILY NAUSEA

The Voters are sick of the Karunanidhi Family.

One Son from One Wife is the Deputy Chief Minister, known as Stalin by Name and deed because of his criminal and hoodlum image.

Another son from another wife is the Central Minister and the Boss of the Party in South Tamilnadu . Azhagiri is a complete failure as the Fertilisers and Chemicals Minister.

Karunanidhi's daughter Kanimozhi from another wife is a Rajya Sabha MP. She is supposed to be the live-in partner of Telecom Ministers Raja.

Kanimozhi is perceived to be the broker of the 1 lakh crores Spectrum Scam.

The Tamil Voters NOW want to defeat the DMK Government owned by the Karunanidhi Family.

LOBBYING RAHUL

Several Congress MPs, MLAs and Position Holders have been lobbying with Rahul to convince Sonia to break up with Karunanidhi.

These Congressmen want Rahul to persuade Sonia, to forge a Congress-AIADMK Alliance .

RAHUL & SONIA

Rahul gives his inputs to Sonia, based on advice received from various sections of the Party.

The ultimate decision is always taken by Sonia, after consulting those whom she trusts, on the matters relating to the concerned Issue.

Rahul always obediently abides by the Sonia Decision.

Rahul might correctly perceive that the Alliance with the DMK would be a disaster and hence the need to consider Alternatives or fight without an Alliance .

JAYA HO

The perception in Tamilnadu is, that the AIADMK Governance was far superior to the DMK Mis-Governance.

The voters mood in Tamilnadu, is to punish the DMK for destroying the Governance.

If the Congress-AIADMK had aligned, then the Alliance would have won a Big Majority.

DMK LOSING TAMILNADU

The DMK will lose more than 30-40 seats to drop from 95 to 50-60 MLAs.

The DMK-Congress Alliance will win less than 100 Assembly Seats out of the 234 Constituencies.

AIADMK AHEAD

It is Now definite that the AIADMK led by Jayalalithaa will be the Single Largest Party, after the Elections.

The AIADMK-Communists Alliance will be the Single largest Group winning more than 100 Assembly Seats out of the 234.

JAYA-VIJAYA

Jayalalithaa Confidante Sasikala is opposing the Alliance with Vijayakanth the Actor, whose Party the DMDK has more than a 10% Vote Share.

If Jayalalithaa and Vijayakanth have an Alliance , then together they will win more than 175 of the 234 Seats to get a Big Majority.

JAYA BAIT

Jayalalithaa is offering the Congress Party 100 Seats out of the 234.

Congressmen want to grab the Jayalalithaa Offer, because the Congress Party will win almost all the 100 seats allotted to it.

The Jayalalithaa offer, could easily result in the Congress Party becoming the largest Party.

Then a Congressman could be the Surprise Chief Minister, in a Coalition with the AIADMK.

SONIA MOOD

Sonia is in no mood to have an Alliance with Jayalalithaa.

Sonia is in no mood to betray Karunanidhi.

BARGAIN WITH DMK

Sonia will use the Jayalalithaa offer to force Karunanidhi to increase the Allotment of Seats to the Congress Party to 75.

If Sonia bargains rigidly then Karunanidhi might yield to the pressure, to give more seats to the Congress Party.

GOOD & UGLY

The Tamilnadu Congressmen say that the Congress Party:

Will Win every seat allotted to it, in the Good Alliance with the popular AIADMK.

Will Lose more than half the seats allotted to it, in the Ugly Alliance with the unpopular DMK.

LOK SABHA NUMBERS

The DMK has 18 Lok Sabha MPs.

The AIADMK-MDMK has 10 Lok Sabha MPs.

Mulayam with 22 MPs, Mayawati with 21 MPs, Ajit Singh with 5 MPs and Lalu Yadav with 4 MPs will ensure that the Congress led Central Government will not fall, by securing lucrative Deals from the Congress Party.

In the Lok Sabha, therefore the difference of 8 MPs, between DMK & AIADMK-MDMK will not destabilise the Central Government.

FINISHLINE

Most of the Tamilnadu Voters are waiting for Polling Day to Vote against the DMK Government.

Tamilnadu will have a AIADMK Controlled Government, after the Elections with a Jayalalithaa Loyalist as the New Chief Minister.