SCAM TRIGGER
The Thousands of Crores of Spectrum Allocation Scam in the Union Telecom Ministry involving the DMK and the Near-End of the LTTE in the Sri Lanka Army Offensive, has triggered a dramatic change in Political Equations in Tamilnadu
HUG & HANG
Bitter Rivals Sonia and Jayalalithaa have decided to Hug each other and Hang the Karunanidhi Government.
Congress President Sonia and the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Chief Jayalalithaa have struck a Deal for the 2009 Lok Sabha Polls.
The Congress Party will BREAK away from the Karunanidhi led Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Coalition-Alliance.
SONIA INSTRUMENT
Sonia made changes in the Party Reshuffle to facilitate the Change of Coalition Partners in Tamilnadu.
MOILY SHIFT
Sonia shifted Veerappa Moily from Tamilnadu to Assam.
On Sonia’s orders Moily had developed an excellent rapport with Karunanidhi.
Moily effectively coordinated a perfect relationship between the DMK and the Congress.
Sonia decided to shift gears in Tamilnadu and hence replaced Moily.
GHULAM ENTRY
Sonia has brought in Ghulam Nabi Azad to be in charge in Tamilnadu and Pondicherry.
Azad will now facilitate the implementation of the Congress-AIADMK-PMK-PMK-DMDK Alliance in Tamilnadu and Pondicherry.
The Process of shifting from DMK to AIADMK will happen in March.
LOK SABHA ALLIANCE
The Congress Party and AIADMK will form an Alliance for the Lok Sabha Elections.
The Congress-AIADMK Alliance will also have the PMK of Ramadoss, the MDMK of Vaiko and the Dalit Panthers Party.
Attempts are on to rope in Actor Vijayakanth’s DMDK Party also.
The number of Lok Sabha Seats to be contested by each Party in the coalition is still being negotiated.
CHIEF MINISTER AGAIN
Jayalalithaa will support a Congress Party Prime Minister after the Lok Sabha Elections.
Sonia will install Jayalalithaa as the Chief Minister in March itself.
ASSEMBLY
The Total number of MLAS in the Tamilnadu assembly are 234
The Majority Figure is 117 MLAs.
Currently the DMK-Congress Alliance has a majority.
DMK 96. CONGRESS 34. PMK 18 MLAs.
The AIADMK led Opposition Coalition strength in the Assembly is:
AIADMK 61. CPM 9.CPI 6.MDMK 6.DPI 2 MLAs
The Others in the Assembly are: DMDK 1. Independent 1
AIADMK-CONGRESS WILL PROVE MAJORITY
If the Congress Party and the PMK withdraw support to the Coalition Government then Karunanidhi will lose majority and will have to Resign.
The Congress-AIADMK-PMK-MDMK-DPI-DMDK Coalition will have a clear majority in the Assembly.
It has 122 MLAs out of the 234 MLAs.
AIADMK 61.CONGRESS 34.PMK 18.MDMK 06.DPI 02.DMDK 1 MLA.
The Congress-AIADMK-PMK-MDMK-DPI Coalition will thus be a stable and majority Government.
DMK-BJP ALLIANCE
The BJP was about to get Zero MPs from Tamilnadu.
The shift of the Sonia Congress to the AIADMK will force the DMK in the Opposition to join the BJP led NDA.
L.K.Advani will thus get a viable Alliance Partner in Tamilnadu.
LOK SABHA EQUATIONS
The Tamilnadu Voters will be polarized for the Lok Sabha Elections between the Congress-AIADMK and the BJP-DMK Alliances.
The Communists with their credibility destroyed by the corrupt coalition of Prakash Karat-Pinarayi Vijayan and shunned by both the DMK and the AIADMK will have to jump in to the Bay of Bengal to swim to survive in Bengal.
FINISHLINE
The BJP-DMK Alliance will win 9 Lok Sabha Seats.
The Congress-AIADMK-PMK-MDMK-DPI-DMDK Coalition will easily win 30 of the 39 Lok Sabha Seats in Tamilnadu.
Congress President Sonia is wisely and magnanimously setting aside all personal prejudices to join a Coalition with Jayalalithaa!
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