VOTERS' MOOD, NOW
Politicsparty.com did this VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL, to understand the Voters' Attitude as of NOW , in the Coastal Andhra and the Rayalaseema Regions of Andhra Pradesh.
The Electoral Situation in the Telangna Region is still Not Clear. This is because Every Political Party has lost the Confidence of the Voters in Telangana.
The situation is ripe for a New Credible Telangana Regional Party to be Born.
Politicsparty.com will conduct the Voters’ Attitude Poll in the Telangana Region, in OCTOBER 2012, after the Government of India announces the Final Decision, against the Creation of the Separate State of Telangana or Fails to Create the new State of Telangana .
LOK SABHA NUMBERS
The Andhra Pradesh State has 42 Lok Sabha MPs.
The Telangana Region, including the Greater Hyderabad Area, has 17 Lok Sabha Constituencies. Of these, 5 Constituencies have a majority of Non-Telangana Voters.
The Rayalaseema Region has 8 Lok Sabha Constituencies.
The Coastal Andhra Region has 17 Lok Sabha Constituencies.
KEY TO CENTRAL GOVT IS IN A.P.
Whoever wins the Big Number of Lok Sabha Seats from Andhra Pradesh, will definitely capture the Government of India .
In 1998 and 1999, the BJP- TDP Grouping won 36 of the 42 Lok Sabha Seats to Capture the Central Government for the Vajpayee led BJP.
In 2004 the BJP won 138 Seats across India . The INC won 145 across India . The INC became the Single Largest Party.
If the INC had won 8 Seats less from Andhra Pradesh, then the Vajpayee Government would have again captured the Central Government, because the BJP would then have been the Single Largest Party.
The Historic Victory delivered by YSR in Andhra Pradesh, to the INC, in 2004, gifted the Central Government to Sonia.
In 2009 the YSR led Sonia Congress won 33 Lok Sabha Seats out of the Total of 42 Lok Sabha Seats.
The Voters of Andhra Pradesh inspired by YSR, Once again in 2009, gifted the Central Government to Sonia.
The Andhra Pradesh Assembly has 294 Assembly Seats.
The Majority Figure is 148 MLAs.
The Majority Figure to Capture the State Government is 148 MLAs.
Whoever wins 148 Assembly Seats, will capture the Government to become the Chief Minister.
The Telangana Region including Hyderabad has 119 Assembly Seats, out of the Total of 294 MLAs in the Andhra Pradesh Assembly.
If any Party wins more than 147 Seats in the Non-Telangana Regions, then irrespective of the Telangana Results, that Party will capture the Government of Andhra Pradesh.
ANDHRA VOTERS’ OPINION 2012
Politicsparty.com conducted the Voters Attitude Poll, in all the 175 Assembly Constituencies in the Rayalaseema and the Coastal Andhra Regions of the State of Andhra Pradesh, to understand the Voters’ Mood, as of Now.
The Politicsparty.com Research Survey to gauge the Voters’ Mood, was conducted on 16 October 2012.
100 Representative Assembly Constituencies, across the Non-Telangana Portions of the State of Andhra Pradesh, were selected, based on the Results in the 2004 Assembly & Lok Sabha Elections and the 2009 Assembly & Lok Sabha Elections.
A Random Sample of 200 (100 Men and 100 Women) Registered voters, were interviewed in each Assembly Constituency.
The sample Interviewed for the Politicsparty.com Survey, accurately represents the Socio-Economic Demographic Profile of Men and Women, in the Regions of Andhra Pradesh.
The Voters Attitude Poll has been conducted by a Team of highly qualified specialist Psephologists, with No Political Loyalties, possessing High Professional Integrity and completely Independent of Media Lobbies.
On 16 October 2012, the Andhra-Rayalaseema Voters, were asked the Questions:
If the Elections to the Andhra Pradesh Assembly are held Today, Which Party will you Vote for?
If the Elections to the Lok Sabha are held Today, Which Party will you Vote for?
ANDHRA VOTERS' ATTITUDE POLL-2012
17 OCTOBER 2012
|NAME OF PARTY
|INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
|TELUGU DESAM PARTY
|YSR CONGRESS PARTY
The YSR Congress Party is increasing its Vote Share with every passing month. As of Now, it is at a Huge High of 71% of the Total Votes.
"LOWER STRATA OF 75%" VOTE WAVE
The Politicsparty.com Voters Attitude Poll indicates a Vote Wave for the YSR Congress Party among the Lower Strata of the Voters, who are 75% of the Total Votes.
The Lower Strata of Voters constituting 75% of Total Votes Comprises of:
Poor, Lower Middle Class, Weavers, Artisans, Farmers, Agricultural and Urban Labour, Aged without Income, Youth without Jobs, Students unable to Pay Fees and Women finding it impossible to manage the kitchen because of High Prices.
The Lower Strata of Voters, almost 75% of the Electorate, are convinced that the YSR Congress Party Government will provide a 100% Welfare State.
The Poor and Lower Middle Class Voters comprising of 75% of the Voters believe that the YSR Congress Party Government will Provide them with:
Employment, Greater Income, Health Care, Education, Housing, Food, Old Age Pensions, Higher Price for Agricultural Produce, Adequate Price for Weavers-Artisans and Quick Relief during Calamities.
These "Lower Strata of Income" Voters are disgusted with the current incompetent, corrupt and insensitive INC Governments in the State and in the Center.
There is a wave of anger against the Congress Party on sustained High Prices of Daily Use Commodities.
The Voters are convinced that, if the Telugu Desam grabs the Government, then all the Welfare Schemes would be abandoned.
The Poor and Lower Middle Class Voters believe, that it is in their Supreme Interest to Vote for the YSR Congress Party.
CBI PROBE IMPACT
The Politicsparty.com Voters Attitude Poll indicates:
The Central Bureau of Investigation Probe in to the Financial Activities of the YSR Son and his Family Businesses has had a fantastic impact on the voters making them more sympathetic towards the YSR Congress Party.
The 75% of the Voters (The Welfare Seekers), who comprise the Lower Strata, believe that it is the Joint Conspiracy of the Bosses of the Congress Party, the Telugu Desam Party and their Business Associates, to destroy the Political Career of the YSR Son, after they have failed to defeat him Politically and Electorally.
The Poor Voters believe that, the INC-TDP Coalition after failing to defeat the YSR Family in the 2011 Kadapa By-Election, is using the CBI to destroy the financial viability and to Jail the YSR Son, so as to Freeze his Political Campaign.
The CBI Probe has thus generated widespread sympathy for the YSR Congress Party, among the Lower Strata of Voters, who constitute a huge 75%.
MEDIA OVER KILL, KILLS TDP & CONGRESS
The Over Kill of Jagan Bashing by the Telugu Desam’s Caste TV-Print Media against the YSR Party, is causing a Huge Reaction among the “Welfare Seeking” Voters supporting the YSR Congress Party.
The Telugu Desam Party and the Congress Party Position Holders, perceived to be Corrupt themselves, screaming against YSR’s Corruption, has convinced the Welfare-Seeking Voters, that there is a conspiracy to defame-destroy the YSR Party and thus destroy their Hope of getting Welfare.
The "Over-Kill" in the Media and the Public, by the TDP -Congress Party Chaps, is killing them in the Minds of the Welfare-Seeking Voters.
The Politicsparty.com Voters' Attitude Poll indicates that:
The YSR Congress Party is winning 71% of the Total Votes, in each of the 175 Assembly Constituencies in the Andhra and the Rayalaseema Regions.
The Telugu Desam Party is getting ONLY 14% of the Total Votes.
The Indian National Congress is getting the Vote Share of Only 10% of the Total Votes.
The Others are getting the Vote Share of 5% of the Total Votes.
Thus in Each of the 175 Assembly Constituencies in the Andhra-Rayalaseema Regions, the Candidates Opposing the YSR Congress Party, are losing their Deposits.
GIGANTIC VOTE SHARE OF 71% VOTE
The Politicsparty.com Voters' Attitude Poll indicates that there is a Historic Unprecedented Vote Wave in favour of the YSR Congress Party.
When One Party wins more than 50% of the Votes, in Every Constituency, then all the Candidates, of Every Other Party will lose and are losing.
The Politicsparty.com Voters' Attitude Poll Predicts, that the Gigantic Vote Wave of 71% Votes in Every Constituency, is giving victories to the YSR Congress Party, in All the 175 Assembly Constituencies and in All the 25 Lok Sabha Constituncies, in the Andhra-Rayalaseema Regions.
The Politicsparty.com Voters Attitude Poll Predicts:
The YSR Congress Party, is winning the Andhra Pradesh Assembly Elections, by winning all the 175 Assembly Constituencies, in the Andhra and the Rayalaseema Regions.
Politicsparty.com Predicts that the YSR Congress Party will capture the Government of Andhra Pradesh, because it is winning more than the Required Majority Figure of 148 MLAs, from outside the Telangana Region Itself.
LOK SABHA SUMMARY
The Politicsparty.com Voters Attitude Poll Predicts:
The Telugu Desam Party is Not winning a Single Lok Sabha Constituency, from among the 25 Lok Sabha Constituencies, in the Coastal Andhra and Rayalaseema Regions.
The Congress Party is Not winning a Single Lok Sabha Constituency, from among the 25 Lok Sabha Constituencies, in the Coastal Andhra and Rayalaseema Regions.
The YSR Congress Party is winning All the 25 Lok Sabha Constituencies, winning Each and Every Lok Sabha Constituency, in the 25 Lok Sabha Constituencies from the Andhra and the Rayalaseema Regions.
VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL FINDINGS
The Telugu Desam Party is losing the next Assembly Elections, in Andhra Pradesh, being reduced to its Lowest Ever Tally, ZERO, in a Historic Defeat.
The Congress Party is losing the State Government in the next Assembly Elections, in Andhra Pradesh, being wiped out, in a Historic Defeat.
The Congress Party is Not winning a Single Seat from among the 175 Assembly Constituencies.
The Congress Party Chief Minister, the Telugu Desam Party President-Leader of the Opposition Chandrababu Naidu and the former Prajarajyam Party President Chiranjeevi, All Three, are MLAs from the Chittoor District in the Rayalaseema Region and are losing their own seats.
The Indian National Congress Party Chief Minister Kiran Kumar Reddy is Losing from his Own Assembly Constituency, against the YSR Congress Party Candidate.
The Telugu Desam Party President N.Chandrababu Naidu is Losing from his Own Assembly Constituency, against the YSR Congress Party Candidate.
The former Prajarajyam Party President Chiranjeevi, Now in the INC, is Losing from his Own Assembly Constituency, against the YSR Congress Party Candidate.
The Pradesh Congress Committee President, Botsa Satyanarayana is losing his own Assembly Seat.
All the Ministers, Speaker and All the Sitting MLAs are losing their own Assembly Seats.
All the Congress Party and Telugu Desam Lok Sabha MPs are Losing Heavily, Losing their Deposits in Each of the 23 of the 25 Lok Sabha Constituencies.
HISTORY OF VOTE WAVES
The Biggest Vote Wave earlier was, after the Assassination of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, in the 1984 Lok Sabha Elections.
The Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi led Indian National Congress won 414 of the 543 Lok Sabha Seats reducing the BJP to just 2 MPs in the Lok Sabha.
Tamilnadu has also witnessed a Vote Wave, wherein the Jayalalithaa led AIADMK won all the Seats after the Rajiv Assassination in 1991.
In 2004, the DMK-Congress Alliance won all the 39 Lok Sabha Seats from Tamilnadu.
Politicsparty.com Designates the YSR Congress Vote Wave in Andhra, as the Biggest Vote Wave in the 60 Years of Electoral History of India , since 1952.
The martyred YSR has miraculously, greater Credibility among the Welfare-Seeking Voters, than any other Leader in any Party.
The Welfare-Seeking Voters perceive the Telugu Desam Party President N.Chandrababu Naidu as their biggest Enemy.
The Welfare-Seeking Voters perceive the Position Holders in the Congress Party as Corrupt, Incompetent, Insensitive, Incapable and of having No Credibility.
The failure of the TDP and the Congress Party to project a "Miracle Icon" capable of "Governance for the Masses", is causing a Huge Vote Wave for the YSR Congress Party.
MIRACLE CHIEF MINISTER
The Congress Party will have to Install a "Miracle Person" as the New Chief Minister, if it wants to woo the Welfare-Seeking Voters and to Revive the Congress Party in a Deep “COMA”, among all Sections of Voters.
Otherwise the Congress Party will be Doomed to be the ZERO in the next Assembly and Lok Sabha Elections.
DEAD YSR LOOMS LARGER
The Politicsparty.com Voters' Attitude Poll Predicts, that as of Now, the YSR Congress Party, will definitely Capture the Government of Andhra Pradesh in the Next Assembly Elections.
The Politicsparty.com Voters' Attitude Poll Predicts, that the YSR Congress Party, will definitely Play the Pivotal "Government Forming" Role in the Capture of the Government of India , after the Next Lok Sabha Electons.
Dr Y.S.Rajasekhara Reddy popularly known as YSR, is proving to be Electorally Invincible, after being martyred and is looming Larger than All the Other Bosses of Every Party, in the Andhra-Rayalaseema Electoral Scenario.
The Politicsparty.com Voters' Attitude Poll Predicts, that the Vote Wave in favour of the YSR Congress Party will Not subside, but will continue to gather more and more votes, to become invincible in the next Assembly and the next Lok Sabha Elections.
The ONLY method for the Congress Party to Repair the Electoral Damage in Andhra Pradesh, Recover the Trust of the Voters and to Win, is to Install the Mracle Person, as the Chief Minister.