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TOPPLE MANMOHAN GOVT
The Phenomenal Success nationwide of the Combined Opposition Protest on 5 July 2010, in the vacuum absence of any credible National Leader, supported by ordinary voters, suffering the High Prices inflicted by the Manmohan Government, has created the Launch Pad to unite the Opposition, to Topple the failed Manmohan Government.
During this week the Leaders of the Opposition will take a final decision on the Issue of Toppling the Manmohan Government, by defeating it in a No Confidence Motion, in the Monsoon Session of Parliament, beginning on 26 July 2010 .
HIGH PRICES & LOW GOVERNANCE
The failure of the Manmohan Government on "Highest Ever" High Prices of Fuel and Essential Commodities and the brazen insensitiveness of the Government has generated a nationwide anger against the Government.
The People of India want to kick out the Manmohan Government.
Will the Opposition MPs represent the People’s Anger or will they swallow crores to save the failed Manmohan Government?
NO CONFIDENCE MOTION
The Manmohan Government can be removed ONLY if the entire Opposition Combines to defeat the Government in a No Confidence Motion.
A No Confidence Motion has to be moved in the Lok Sabha.
If 50 or more Lok Sabha MPs support the No Confidence Motion then it will be admitted by the Speaker.
The Lok sabha Speaker Meira Kumar will Schedule 2 days, for Discussion and Voting after the Discussion.
In the 543 MPs Lok Sabha, there are now 542 MPs after Banka MP Digvijay Singh from Bihar died.
The Government will survive, if more than half of the Lok Sabha MPs,
Present and Voting, reject the No Confidence Motion by Voting against it.
13 SHORT
The Government is short of the majority figure of 272 MPs.
Those in the Government are:
Indian National Congress 207 MPs. Trinamul Congress 19. DMK 18. NCP 9. NC 3. ML 2. KC 1.
The Manmohan Government has 259 MPs in the 542 MPs Lok Sabha.
The Manmohan Government is short of the Majority Figure of 272 MPs by 13 MPs.
LOOSE MPs
There are about 12 Independent MPs in the Lok Sabha.
The Government will try to buy them with crores of Good Wishes.
HIGH SALE
The Lok Dal of Ajit Singh with 5 MPs is ready to conditionally support the Manmohan Government.
Ajit wants to gobble crores.
Ajit wants Lucrative Ministerial Berths for Ajit and his keep, before the Parliament Session begins.
SURVIVE
If all the 259 MPs in the Government support it and the shortfall of 13 is made up by acquiring the Loose MPs, then the Government will easily defeat the No Confidence Motion, to survive.
If All the Allies in the Government stay with the Government then it would be impossible to defeat the Government.
FISSURE FALL
The Collapse of the Manmohan Government is possible Only if the Allies in the Government decide to vote with the Opposition.
The Fissure faultlines to quake the Government can come from the Regional Allies.
KERALA ALLIES
The Congress Allies in Kerala are in a solid Anti-Communist Alliance .
The Kerala Congress is a Roman Catholic Christians Party.
The Kerala Congress can win seats in the 2011 Assembly Elections ONLY by being in Alliance with the Congress.
The Muslim League is a Muslims' Party.
The Muslim League can win seats in the 2011 Assembly Elections ONLY by being in Alliance with the Congress.
The Kerala Allies will stay with the Manmohan Government.
ABDULLAH
The National Conference is in Government in Kashmir in Coalition with the Congress.
Omar Abdullah will be Toppled in Farookh Abdullah withdraws support to the Manmohan Government.
The National Conference will be wiped out in a Mid-Term Poll in Kashmir .
The National Conference will therefore be with the Manmohan Government, to save its Kashmir Government.
KARUNANIDHI
The DMK will stay with the Government.
The DMK Priority is to win the Tamilnadu Assembly Elections in 2011.
The DMK cannot win the Elections if it breaks the Alliance with the INC.
ANTI-SONIA CONSPIRACY BY PAWAR
Sharad Pawar wants to destroy the Sonia and Rahul Family from the Apex of India Politics.
Pawar is biding his time to strike at Sonia-Rahul.
Sharad Pawar will therefore first topple the Maharashtra Government, install the NCP-Shiv Sena Government and Only after that begin the process of destabilising Sonia-Rahul at the National Level.
TOPPLE SONIA IN MAHARASHTRA
Pawar has concluded an agreement with Bal Thackeray to topple the NCP-INC State Government in Maharashtra .
Pawar wants to install his daughter Supriya Sule as the Chief Minister of the NCP-Shiv Sena Government.
Pawar is facing opposition from nephew Ajit Pawar, who wants to be the Chief Minister.
Uddhav Thackeray also prefers Ajit Pawar as the Chief Minister of the NCP-Shiv Sena Coalition Government.
Sharad Pawar will soon sort out the Issue of the Chief Minister, within the NCP.
Sharad Pawar will therefore not vote against the Manmohan Government in the Monsoon Session of Parliament in 2010.
MAMATA DANGER
Trinamul Congress Party President and Railways Minister Mamata Banerjee is feared by Allies, as being completely unpredictable.
The Mamata priority is to win the 2011 Assembly Elections in Bengal , to become the Chief Minister.
Mamata will stay or break with the Congress as per her perception of it helping her to win in Bengal .
HIGH PRICES PRESSURE
The failure of the Manmohan-Pranab Government, in preventing High Prices is causing a panic in Mamata.
The High Prices are repelling Bengali Voters away from the INC-Trinamul Congress to the Communists.
The High Prices could ultimately make the Bengalis Vote in Anger against the Manmohan-Pranab Government and thus deliver a surprise victory to the Communists.
Mamata is under intense pressure from Ordinary Trinamul Voters, to force the Central Government to Lower the High Prices or withdraw support to the Manmohan-Pranab Government.
MAOIST PRESSURE
The intense co-ordination between the Buddhadeb Communist Government and the Manmohan-Chidambaram Government in killing the Maoists in Bengal is destroying the Trinamul Infrastructure in Bengal .
The Maoists are the Trinamul Congress Party Caders in Bengal .
If most of the Maoists are killed by the Joint Offensive by the State and Central Government Security-Police Forces, then the Trinamul Congress will not have any Maoists, to man her Polling Booths in Rural Bengal .
The Maoists are also forcing Mamata to stop the Police Offensive against them or withdraw support to the Manmohan-Chidambaram Government.
Mamata cannot win the Bengal Assembly Elections, without the Maoists.
MAMATA PANIC
Mamata is infuriated with the Manmohan Government for it Failing to Kill High Prices and for it trying to Kill Maoists.
Mamata wis in Panic and will suddenly withdraw support to the Manmohan-Pranab-Chidambaram Government to kill it before it kills her Political Dream of becoming the Chief Minister.
MAMATA RESIGNS
The Manmohan Government will be Toppled, the Day that Mamata Banerjee withdraws the support of her 19 Lok Sabha MPs and along with all her Ministers Resigns from the Government.
Unpredictable Mamata is unlikely to topple the Manmohan Government in August 2010 but might Topple it in the Year End.
Unless unpredictable Mamata at sunrise, on any August Morning, hits the Panic Button!
COMBINED OPPOSITION
Confabulations are taking Place between the Communists, the Regional Bosses opposed to the INC, BJP, BJP Allies and Sharad Pawar on the Timing of the Toppling of the Manmohan Government.
If the Opposition Bosses feel, that they do Not have enough Numbers to win the No Confidence Motion, in August, then they will Topple the Manmohan Government in November 2010.
If the Opposition Bosses feel, that they have managed the Lok Sabha Numbers to win the No Confidence Motion, then they will Topple the Manmohan Government, in the 2010 August Session of Parliament.
SONIA SAVING GOVT
Congress President Sonia is making all the Political Moves, to ensure the survival of the Congress Party led Government during the Monsoon Session of Parliament.
Sonia has therefore abandoned all initiatives of a Cabinet Reshuffle, until after the Monsoon Session of Parliament, to prevent hurt Regional Bosses and Congress MPs, from sulking and revolting to endanger the Government.
FINISHLINE
The Manmohan Government will Not fall because of Numbers in the Lok Sabha. The Sonia System will manage the Numbers.
The Manmohan Government will fall, if the conspirators in America or China, inspire the High Profile International Expose of a debilitating Mega-Scam, of Payments to the High and Mighty in the United Progressive Alliance Government of India.
OR
Manmohan dies or becomes so ill, that the installation of the New Prime Minister becomes an instant necessity. |