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"HARYANA ANALYSIS"

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CONGRESS IN FOR SHOCK DEFEAT IN HARYANA
HOODA HAUNTED BY SONIA FEAR OF YSR EFFECT
SOFT ON PAK TERROR-CHINA, PRICES ANGER VOTERS
MANMOHAN MIS-GOVERNANCE DEFEATS SONIA CONG
By P.R.SIDDHARTHA
politicsparty.com
23 SEPTEMBER 2009
 

PATRIOTIC VOTES

In the Jatlands of Haryana there is a minimum of One family Member guarding India 's Borders as a Soldier.

The Manmohan Government surrender to the Pakistan Terror and the China Aggressive Incursions angers the Patriotic Jats!

 

HIT-WICKET IN HARYANA

Are Haryana Voters defeating the Congress Party Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda's Government in a shock defeat?

Did Sonia err in calling for Elections in 2009 October, 5 months before the scheduled date of March 2010?

 

JAT HARYANA

Haryana is 30% Jats and 70% Non-Jats.

The Jats vote for the Lok Dal. The Non-Jats vote for the Congress Party.

Jat Leader Hooda changed that and got the Jats to desert the Lok Dal to vote for the Congress Party.

The Congress Party won 67 of the 90 Assembly Seats in the 2005 Assembly Elections defeating the Om Prakash Chautala's Lok Dal Government reducing it from a Majority to just 9 MLAs.

The Congress Party won in 55 of the 90 Assembly Segments in the 2009 Lok Sabha Polls.

 

OVER CONFIDENT ARROGANCE

The Chief Minister Hooda and Sonia were over confident that the Congress party would easily win a majority of more than 46 MLAs in Haryana.

Their over confidence zoomed when the BJP National Leaders pocketed crores to break the Alliance with the Lok Dal.

Hooda was encouraged by Sonia to devastate the Lok Dal by organising the Defection of 60 Lok Dal Leaders in to the Congress Party.

Hooda thus almost converted the Party in to the Lok Dal Congress.

Sonia and Hooda celebrated by dissolving the Assembly and calling for early Elections in Haryana.

 

ANGER AGAINST MIS-GOVERNANCE

The Congress Government's Failure on High Prices, Softness on Pakistan Terrorism, Surrender to China Aggression and the lack of any pro-people sensitivity by Sonia-Rahul is repelling voters in a big way.

The Mis-Governance of the Manmohan Government for 5.5 years has escalated the prices of all essential commodities to unaffordable highs.

Cooking Oil has increased from Rs 60 to Rs 150 per litre.

Wheat Flour has increased from Rs 8 to Rs 16 per kilo.

Rice has increased from Rs 30 to Rs 60 per kilo.

Pulses have increased from Rs 30 to over Rs 100 per kilo.

Sugar has increased from Rs 18 to Rs 38 per kilo.

The Voter Anger against the Manmohan Government Failure to contain High Prices will devastate the Sonia Congress.

 

SHOCK DEFEATS IN DELHI

In Neighbouring Delhi , the Congress Party had in December 2008 won the Dwarka and Okhla Seats by a marhin of 14, 000 and 545 Votes.

In the September 2009 By Elections the BJP won the Dwarka Seat by 11000 votes to get a swing of 25, 000 Votes away from the Congress Party.

The Congress Party lost the Okhla Seat too by falling to Third Place behind the RJD and the BSP. The RJD defeated the BSP by over 5500 Votes. The swing away from the Congress Party is 7000 Votes.

If the Delhi By-Polls Voting Trends enter Haryana then the Congress Party would be wiped out in most of the 90 Assembly Seats.

 

BJP BONANZA

The BJP is of no consequence in Haryana. The BJP was expected to win Zero of the 90 Seats.

The BJP will be fighting the Elections on its own.

The BJP has not at all prepared for these Elections because the BJP National Leadership was always busy selling the Party everywhere.

The BJP has no leaders and no workers in Haryana. The BJP has no committed voters in Haryana.

The Manmohan Government failure on High Prices and the Failure in protecting the Territory against China and Pakistan could create a change of scene across Haryana, uprooting the Congress Party.

In the 30 Urban seats which are perceived as Punjabi Dominated and without any Jats, a "Not-In-The-Race" BJP might win seats in a huge windfall.

The BJP might do splendidly well in Haryana, winning seats it could have never one, for No Fault of the BJP. If the Delhi Shock defeats for the Congress Party creep in to Haryana.

 

YSR KILLS HOODA

If Sonia trusts Hooda and fields his candidates in the 50 Jat dominated Seats, then the Congress Party could scrape through winning more than 46 of the 90 Assembly Seats.

The YSR Effect in Andhra where in 150 of the 158 MLAs are refusing to listen to Sonia and are devoted to the YSR Son Jagan has got Sonia scared.

The Anti-Hooda Elements (7 of the 9 MPs are Anti-Hooda, 8 of the 14 Haryana Ministers are Anti-Hooda) have told Sonia that Hooda might in future hijack the Congress Party by converting it in to a Jat Congress and a Lok Dal Congress.

The Anti-Hooda Elements have neither popular support nor the ability to win votes even in their own constituencies.

The YSR Effect has got Sonia to reduce the Number of Tickets allotted to Hooda Loyalists to 50% of the pre-YSR Death allotment.

If Hooda Loyalists do not get Tickets, then the Jats will vote in a wave in those seats for the Lok Dal.

The Lok Dal was expected to win less than 10 seats. Now the Lok Dal might be gifted by Sonia with a Government forming number of wins.

 

FINISHLINE

If it was a Normal Election, then the Congress Party would have easily won more than the majority of the 90 MLAs Assembly winning upwards of 46 MLAs.

If Sonia-Manmohan Failure on High Prices, Pakistan Terror and China Aggression dominate the popular minds, then the Congress party is heading for a Shock Defeat in Haryana.
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