SONIA-ADVANI FAILURE
The Failure of the National Bosses of the Congress Party and the BJP to create a Wave for their Coalition, is encouraging the various Categories of Regional Bosses to Confluence in to a Post-Poll National Coalition Government.
GAMES OF REGIONAL BOSSES
Regional Party Bosses have formed an UNDISCLOSED National Conglomeration to create a Non-Congress Non-BJP Government after the Lok Sabha Polls.
They have been holding parleys with each other without the knowledge of their National Allies: the Congress Party and the BJP.
MAGIC FIGURE: 272 MPs
The Lok Sabha has 543 MPs. The Majority Figure is 272.
BJP PLUS CONG TOTAL 272 MPs
If the BJP and the Congress Party MPs add up to more than the majority figure, then there can be No Government without either the BJP or the Congress Party Leading it or Supporting it.
BJP PLUS CONG TOTAL LESS THAN 272 MPs
If the BJP and the Congress Party MPs add up to less than the majority figure, then all the Regional Bosses will form a Government.
The Coalition Of Regional Bosses will get a Majority with the outside support from the Communists.
NAVIN DIVORCES ADVANI TO MARRY KARAT
BJD Chief and Orissa Chief Minister Navin Patnaik is confident that the Biju Janata Dal will win a majority in the 147 MLAs Orissa Assembly Elections without the BJP Alliance.
Navin Patnaik is about to forge an Alliance in Orissa with the Communists, the Bahujan Samaj Party and the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha.
Navin Patnaik is likely to win 75 MLAs to secure a Single Party Majority to rewin the Orissa Government.
Navin Patnaik is likely to win 10 of the 21 Lok Sabha Seats.
The Communists, JMM and the BSP will win 4 Seats in Alliance with the BJD.
The BJP would win 2 and the Congress Party would win 5 MPs.
Navin Patnaik wants to rewin Orissa.
The Strategy to dump the BJP is to rewin Orissa on his own.
DIVORCE & ORGY
Navin Patnaik has for now divorced Advani to marry Karat.
Navin Patnaik will divorce Karat if he wins a majority for the BJD in the Orissa Assembly.
Navin will happily stay detached and independent of the National Party Bosses.
Navin will probably be available to be the Prime Minister of a Non Congress Non-BJP Central Government.
Navin can get both the Communists and the BJP to commit Political ORGY by making him the Prime Minister of a Non-Congress Central Government.
FIVE CATEGORIES OF REGIONAL BOSSES
There are FIVE Categories of Regional Bosses.
ONE: REGIONAL BOSSES WITH CONGRESS
Tamilnadu: DMK-Karunanidhi. PMK-Ramadoss. DMDK-Vijayakanth
Maharashtra : NCP-Sharad Pawar. RPI (Athawle). RPI (Gavai).
Kerala: Muslim League. Kerala Congress.
Jharkhand: JMM-Shibhu Soren. RJD-Lalu Yadav
Bihar : RJD. L JSP-Paswan.
West Bengal : Trinamul Congress
Assam: Minority Front.
In Bihar the Congress party will be allotted only 4 of the 40 Seats.
The JMM and RJD are keen to increase their share thus reducing the Congress allotment to 6 out of 14 in Jharkhand.
The Trinamul Congress is prepared to allot to Congress just 12 seats out of 42. Of these the Congress party can win only 4 Seats.
In Tamilnadu and Pondicherry the Allies might bring down the Congress Party seats to 5 out of 40.
In Maharashtra the NCP wants 24 out of the 48. The Two RPI Factions want 2 Seats Each. The Congress Party would thus get only 20 seats.
The Regional Bosses want the Congress Party to help them win the maximum number of seats by reducing the Congress Quota to a bare minimum.
If the Congress Party drops to a less than 99 MPs Tally which is highly likely then the Regional Bosses will defect to a New National Coalition after the Results are out.
TWO: REGIONAL BOSSES WITH BJP
Maharashtra : Shiv Sena- Thackeray
Bihar : Janata Dal (U)-Nitish Kumar
Punjab : Shiromani Akali Dal-Badal
Haryana: INLD-Chautala
Jharkhand: JVD-Marandi
Uttar Pradesh: Lok Dal-Ajit Singh
Assam : AGP
In Bihar Nitish Kumar wants the BJP to contest just a dozen seats and allow the JD (U) to contest 28.
The Akali Dal is refusing to give the BJP more than the 3 out of 13 Seats in Punjab.
The Shiv Sena would like the BJP to contest 20 and give it 28.
In Jharkhand, Marandi wants 7 of the 14 Seats.
In Assam the BJP has got the Lion’s share of 7 out of 14 from the AGP.
The Regional Bosses want the BJP to help them win the maximum number of seats by reducing the BJP Quota to a bare minimum.
If the BJP drops to a less than 120 MPs Tally which is highly unlikely then the Regional Bosses will defect to a New National Coalition after the Results are out.
THREE: REGIONAL BOSSES WITH COMMUNISTS
Tamilnadu: AIADMK-Jayalalithaa. MDMK-Vaiko.
Andhra Pradesh: TDP-Naidu. TRS-Rao
Karnataka: JD (S)-Deve Gowda
Uttar Pradesh: BSP-Mayawati
The Regional Bosses currently with the Communists are not going to stick with the Communists if they get an attractive proposal from the BJP or the Congress Party.
Except the Telugu Desam Party all the others would be ready to join a Congress Party Led Coalition if the Congress-UPA win 225 MPs.
Jayalalithaa will want Karunanidhi thrown out.
Mayawati will want Mulayam to be Kicked Out.
All the Communist Regional Allies will delightedly join the BJP Led Coalition, if the BJP-NDA win 225 MPs.
FOUR: JILTED REGIONAL BOSSES
Mulayam Singh Yadav wanted a Scenario wherein the Congress Party would contest just 20 seats and allow the Samajwadi Party to Contest 60 MPs.
If it had materialised then the Congress Party would have won 15 and Mulayam 30.
Sonia-Rahul would like to do a Post-Poll Deal with Mayawati if the BSP gets upwards of 35 MPs.
The Samajwadi Party without an Alliance with the Congress Party will fail to win even 5 Seats.
The Congress Party without an Alliance with the Samajwadi Party will fail to win even 5 Seats.
Yet both of them are falling out.
Arrogance, Prejudice and an Inflated Opinion of Oneself is defeating the Congress Party and the Samajwadi Party in Uttar Pradesh.
FIVE: UNATTACHED REGIONAL BOSSES
A number of Regional Bosses, capable of winning just One MP, will join the winner who captures the Central Government.
There will be 10 such Independent and Tiny Party MPs.
UNATTACHED CHIRANJEEVI
The New Kid entering the complex world of Electoral Politics is the Telugu Film Star Chiranjeevi.
Chiranjeevi was rejected by the Communists.
The BJP is wooing Chiranjeevi but he wants to join them Post-Poll, only if they capture the Government of India.
Chiranjeevi has not been given a Symbol by the Election Commission.
A Number of Regional Bosses are offering Chiranjeevi their Symbol.
Chiranjeevi will pick one of them.
Chiranjeevi is getting crowds in every Place of Andhra Pradesh unprecedented in numbers in the History of Mass Movements In India.
If Chiranjeevi Crowds convert in to Votes then the Prajarajyam Party floated by him might end up winning 15 Lok Sabha Seats.
QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED ON COUNTING DAY
Who will be the Tiny Regional Boss acceptable to be the BOSS of all the Regional Bosses?
Who will be Sonia’s replacement for Manmohan Singh to woo the Communists?
Who will be L.K.Advani’s Manmohan Singh?
FINISHLINE
The Name of the Next Prime Minister begins with the Alphabet “N”!
There are More than Four Prime Ministerial Probables with their names beginning with “N”!
Keep Thinking.
Politics party .com will provide all the Answers!