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politicsparty.com TITLE OF COLUMN P.R.SIDDHARTHA
    CHAIRMAN
WORLD'S BEST ANALYSIS

"BIHAR 2010 ELECTIONS"

BOARD OF EDITORS
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+91-9968689600
 
 
BIHAR VOTES HUGE-WAVE FOR NITISH TO BE CM AGAIN
CORRUPTION IS BIGGEST ISSUE.VOTERS REJECT CORRUPT
NITISH & NITIN LEAD NDA TO BIGGEST-EVER BIHAR WIN
NDA GOT MORE MUSLIM VOTES THAN LALU & CONGRESS
BIHAR VOTERS WANT LALU TO ALWAYS BE OUT OF GOVT
SONIA-RAHUL FAIL TO REVIVE CONGRESS IN BIHAR
By P.R.VIVEK
politicsparty.com
21 NOVEMBER 2010
 

BIHAR ELECTIONS COMPLETED

The Bihar Assembly Elections 2010 are over, with the completion of the sixth phase of Polling on 20 November 2010 .

The Bihar Assembly has 243 MLAs. The Majority Figure is 122 MLAs.

The Results of the Bihar Assembly Elections, will be announced by the Election Commission of India on 24 November 2010 .

Politicsparty.com PREDICTS BIHAR 2010 RESULTS

NAME OF PARTY   CONSTITUENCIES
Janata Dal (U) + BJP = 200
RJD + LJSP = 28
Others + Independents = 08
Indian National Congress = 07
TOTAL = 243 MLAs

The Actual Results on 24 November 2010 will be almost near to the above Prediction by politicsparty.com

BIHARIS DEFEAT NAXAL-MAOIST VIOLENCE

Naxalites and Maoists failed to sabotage the Bihar Elections.

The courageous Bihar Voters Rejected Violence to Endorse Democracy.

The 2010 Assembly Elections have proved to be the Most Peaceful Ever Elections.

BIGGEST ISSUE IS CORRUPTION

Corruption is the Biggest Issue.

Voters have realised that the Biggest Problem and the Root Cause of all the Problems in irrigation, Power, Roads, Welfare, Development, Infrastructure, HRD, Health, Services Law-Order-Police and Employment is Corruption.

Voters are sick of Corruption.

Voters do not want to give the Government to the Corrupt.

Voters want Non-Corrupt Governance to effectively deliver Development, Employment, Higher Incomes for Farmers and Welfare.

Voters have preferred the less corrupt than others Nitish-BJP Coalition.

The BIG PREDICTIONS

Chief Minister Nitish Kumar will become the Chief Minister again.

Nitish Kumar led Janata Dal (U) will get more than 122 MLAs to get a Majority on its Own.

Nitish will NOT require the BJP to form a Majority Government.

Nitish may continue the BJP in the Government or may Not.

The BJP will increase its Votes and Constituencies in comparison to November 2005 Elections, by winning more than 70 MLAs.

Lalu Yadav will continue to be the Main Opposition Leader in Bihar with his RJD winning less than half of the 2005 November Tally to fall to 25 MLAs.

The Ram Vilas Paswan’s LJSP in Alliance with the RJD is a disaster winning a Single Digit Tally.

The Indian National Congress has bombed by winning less than the 9 MLAs it won in 2005.

VOTES PREDICTION

The Janata Dal Candidates of Nitish Kumar won 40% of the Muslim Votes as against the Lalu Yadav led RJD winning ONLY 35% of the Muslim Votes.

The Nitish-BJP Coalition won more than 75% of the Votes of OBCs, Bumihars, Brahmins, Thakurs and Mahadalits.

The Lalu-Paswan Alliance won more than 60% of the Dalit Votes in General Constituencies.

The Nitish-BJP Coalition and the Lalu-Paswan Alliance shared equally the Dalit Votes in the Reserved Constituencies.

The Nitish-BJP Coalition won more than 75% of the Youth Votes.

The Nitish-BJP Coalition won more than 60% of the Women Votes.

The Lalu-Paswan Alliance won more than 75% of the Yadav Votes.

CASTE FACTOR

The Caste Attitude played a crucial Role in these Elections also.

The Yadavs remained Loyal to Lalu Yadav.

The Dalits remained more loyal to the Lalu-Paswan Alliance in the Non-Reserved Constituencies and were split evenly in the Reserved Constituencies.

The Kurmis, Koeris, Non-Yadav-OBCs, MahaDalits, Bumihars, Brahmins and Thakurs voted massively for the Nitish-BJP Coalition.

The Muslim Votes were spread with Muslims preferring Nitish to Lalu Yadav because they felt that Lalu Yadav has NO Probability of forming the Government because of the RJD and Congress Party not being in Alliance .

Nitish Kumar and the BJP managed the Caste equations better than all the Others, across Bihar and thus won in a Huge Victory.

JAI SHRI RAM

The Allahabad High Court Judgement, designating the Ayodhya Spot as the Ram Janma Bhoomi, has created a Bounce among all the Hindu Voters, cutting across the Caste Divide, in favour of the BJP.

The Religiously minded Section of the Hindus shunned every Party and Every Candidate, who was perceived to be belittling the Ram Janma Bhoomi, just to appease Muslim Voters.

The Hindu upsurge has given the BJP the Biggest Ever Tally in Bihar .

SONIA FAILURE

Sonia has NOT provided the Political Icons necessary to woo the Bihar Voters.

Voter need ICONS with whom they can identify and trust.

The Congress Party had No Chief Minister Candidate in Bihar .

Sonia and Rahul have wasted 7 Years of Power in the Central Government.

Sonia should have picked a Collective Leadership of OBC and Bhumihar by making them Cabinet Ministers in the Central Government and projecting them in Bihar .

The devastating effect of the Sonia-Rahul Failure to create State Icons to woo Voters resulted in Voters disenchantment against the Congress Party Candidates

MANMOHAN DEFEATS CONGRESS

The Manmohan Singh Government is perceived as the most horrible Central Government Ever.

The Biggest Ever Scams and the Highest Ever Prices have angered the Voters against the Congress Party.

The Manmohan Government cruelty in inflicting Unbearably High Prices, has decimated the Congress Party in the 2010 Bihar Assembly Elections.

FINISHLINE

The Bihar Voters are forewarning the Attitude of India Voters in the next Lok Sabha Elections, that Corruption is the Biggest Issue and the Corrupt will be kept away from the Government.

Sonia must Realise that the Congress Party will be rejected Nationwide as horribly as Lalu Yadav has been rejected by the Bihar Voters.

The Congress Party will be erased in the Next Lok Sabha Elections if:

The failed Manmohan is allowed to continue, the Guilty in the 1.5 Lakh Crores Commonwealth Games Scam and the 1.76 Lakh Crores Scam are Not arrested and the Loot of the Lakhs of Crores is not recovered from the Scamsters.

BIHAR MESSAGE

The Bihar Voters have Told India , that if the Sonia System does Not refurbish the Scam Filled Central Government, then after the Next Lok Sabha Elections:

The Prime Minister will be Nitish Kumar and the Deputy Prime Minister will be Nitin Gadkari.

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CAN JD WIN MAJORITY TO FORM NITISH GOVT MINUS BJP?
SONIA-LALU FAIL TO ALIGN.GIFT BIHAR TO JD-BJP AGAIN
By P.R.SIDDHARTHA
politicsparty.com
3 NOVEMBER 2010
 

SUSPENSE

There is No suspense about who will win Bihar in the 2010 Assembly Elections.

The ONLY Suspense about the Results is:

Will Nitish Kumar's Janata Dal (U) win a Majority on its own by winning 122 MLAs to form the Government without the BJP?

NITISH ADVANTAGE

Bihar will have 6 Phases of Poling for 243 Assembly Constituencies, ending on 20 November 2010 .

Four Phases have been completed, concluding Elections for 182 Seats.

The Fifth Phase with 35 Seats and the Sixth Phase with 26 Seats in South Bihar , are yet to Poll.

The Chief Minister Nitish led Janata Dal-BJP Coalition has won the Majority of the 182 Assembly Constituencies in the Four Phases of Polling completed so far.

SONIA & LALU FAILURE

If Congress President Sonia and RJD President Lalu Yadav had forged a Grand Alliance of Anti-Nish Government Forces, then the Nitish Kumar Government would have lost the Elections.

The United Anti-Nitish Coalition would have won 150 of the 243 Constituencies to form a Majority Government.

The Failure of the Anti-BJP Party Bosses to create a United Alliance has generated a massive advantage for the Chief Minister Nitish Kumar led Janata Dal (United)-BJP Coalition.

DIVIDED OPPOSITION

The Congress Party is contesting all the 243 Constituencies on its own.

The Nationalist Congress Party of Sharad Pawar is contesting against the Congress Party fielding its own candidates, though it is in the Central Government.

Lalu Yadav's Rashtriya Janata Dal is contesting 168 Constituencies and its Alliance Partner Ram Vilas Paswan’s Lok Jan Shakti Party is contesting 75 Constituencies.

The Communists tried to create a United Front of Communists but failed.

The CPI, CPM and CPI-ML (L) have forged a Statewide Alliance to oppose the JD-BJP Coalition, the RJD-LJSP Alliance and the Congress Party.

The Small Communist Parties have forged another Alliance to contest 98 Seats. These Small Communist Outfits are angry that the Big Communists CPM, CPI and CPI-ML (L) did not accommodate the small Communists in the Grand Communist Alliance .

The Mayawati led Bahujan samaj party is contesting the Bihar Elections on its own.

Mulayam Singh Yadav's Samajwadi party too is contesting several seats on its own.

The Anti BJP-JD (U) Space is thus filled with more than 6 Candidates dividing the Anti-Nitish Votes.

DIVIDED MUSLIM VOTES

If there was a United Opposition against the Nitish Kumar Coalition, then the Muslims would have voted in a wave against the JD-BJP Coalition.

The absence of the United Opposition has destroyed the Value of the Muslim Votes.

The Muslim Votes are divided.

Muslims are voting differently in each Constituency.

In Every Constituency that has a Muslim candidate, the Muslims are voting for that Candidate.

Wherever there is No Muslim candidate, there the Muslims are voting for the Candidate perceived to be winning the Election.

Muslims are thus voting for the RJD, the Congress Party, the Communists and the Nitish Kumar led Janata Dal (United) Candidates.

The Division of the Muslim Votes is creating a Huge Advantage for the Nitish-BJP Coalition Candidates in most Constituencies.

DALIT VOTES SCATTERED

The Dalit Votes in Bihar are NOT going to one Party.

The Dalit Votes are going to all the Parties in the Reserved Constituencies because the Candiadtes of all the Parties are Dalits.

In the Unreserved Constituencies the Dalit Votes are being divided among the Janata Dal United of Nitish Kumar, the Congress Party and the Paswan's LJSP.

The Dalit Votes are not going to lalu Yadav's RJD Candidates.

The Division of Dalit Votes is also creating an Advantage for the Nitish led Coalition Candidates.

BHOOMIHAR

The Bhoomihar Votes are going in a wave to the BJP-JD(U) Candidates.

The BJP is the most favoured Party by the Bhoomihars.

Though the Bhoomihars are angry with Nitish Kumar, they are voting for the Nitish Coalition, in the absence of a United Opposition to the Nitish Government.

YADAV VOTES FOR LALU

The Yadavs are voting in a wave for Lalu Yadav's RJD in most Constituencies.

In Constituencies wherein Lalu has not fielded Yadav Candidates and the Non-Yadav Candidates are losing, the Yadav Candidates of the Nitish-BJP Coalition are getting the Yadav Votes.

BRAHMINS & THAKURS

The Brahmins and Thakurs are voting Tactically.

In the Constituencies where there are Brahmin Candidates, the Brahmins are voting for them.

In the Constituencies where there are Thakur Candidates, the Thakurs are voting for them.

In the Constituencies where there are No Brahmin and Thakur Candidates, the Brahmins and Thakurs are voting for the Nitish-BJP Coalition Candidates.

The Brahmin and Thakur Votes are helping the Nitish Kumar Coalition to win the Elections.

CONGRESS INCREASE

The Congress Party won just 9 Assembly Seats in the 2005 Assembly Elections, though it was in Alliance with Lalu Yadav.

This time, on its own the Congress Party will look stupid if it drops its Tally.

The Congress Party and will get no great applause even if it increases its Wins, to Double its Tally in Bihar .

LALU PROSPECTS RISE

Lalu Yadav is constrained by the absence of the Muslim wave against the Nitish Coalition.

Lalu Yadav will have less to cry if the RJD Tally increases substantially but is short of the Nitish Coalition Tally.

Lalu Yadav's Tears will drown the RJD if the winning seats are far less than that of November 2005.

RAM BOUNCE

The Allahabad High Court Verdict in favour of the Ram Janma Bhoomi has created a Bounce for the BJP.

The Hindus drifting away from the BJP have been energised by the Ram Janma Bhoomi to enthusiastically Vote for the BJP-Nitish Coalition Candidates.

NICE FEEL ABOUT NITISH

There is a Statewide Feel Nice about Chief Minister Nitish Kumar.

The Nitish Kumar Governance is perceived to be far superior to the lalu Yadav and the Congress Party Regimes.

Most Bihar Voters do not want the horror of Lalu Yadav grabbing the Government to destroy the Governance.

Voters wanting Governance are voting for the Chief Minister Nitish Coalition.

EASY WIN

The 2010 Bihar Assembly Elections is not experiencing any serious competition, because of the intensely divided Opposition.

Sonia and Lalu Yadav have by their divisiveness, ensured the easy victory of the Nitish Kumar led Coalition in the 2010 Bihar Assembly Elections.

FINISHLINE

The Trends in the Four completed Phases of Polling Indicate, that the Nitish led JD (U) has so far won a majority on its own, of the 182 Seats, which have completed Polling.

The Results in the 61 South Bihar Assembly Seats in the Fifth and Sixth Phases of Polling, will determine if Nitish Kumar can get a majority for the JD (U) on its own to form the Government without the BJP.

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