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WHO MUST BE A.P. 2009 CHIEF MINISTER?

A.P.VOTERS SAY: YSR 65%. CHIRANJEEVI 35%.
YSR & CHIRU CAN CREATE TDP COMEBACK!
 By P.R.SIDDHARTHA
03 SEPTEMBER 2008
 
 

Politicsparty.com VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL-PART TWO

Politicsparty.com conducted a “Voters Attitude Poll” on 30 August 2008 and asked Andhra Pradesh Voters in each of the 294 Assembly Constituencies, by questioning a Sample Size of 1000 in each Assembly Constituency, on their preferred choice to be the Chief Minister after the May 2009 Assembly Elections.

BEST AS CHIEF MINISTER 2009

The Andhra Pradesh Voters were asked to choose between the current Sonia Congress Chief Minister Dr Y.S.Rajasekhara Reddy and the Main Challenger, the neo Political Boss of Prajarajyam Party Chiranjeevi.

The Voters Reply was:

Dr Y.S.Rajasekhara Reddy 65%
Chiranjeevi 35%

VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL-PART ONE

Chiranjeevi’s Prajarajyam Party had polled 35% of the Total Vote winning 148 MLAs in the 294 Assembly Constituencies.

YSR’s Sonia Congress had polled 40% of the Total Vote winning only 140 MLAs.

The Part-One and Part-Two of the Poll indicate an interesting Thesis.

CHIEF MINISTER CHIRANJEEVI

Chiranjeevi and his Party both got 35% of the Total Vote.

As of Now, Voters are just Voting for Chiranjeevi and not his Party or Candidates.

This is because Voters are yet to know the Chiranjeevi’s Candidates, Party Office Bearers and Constituency Level functionaries.
Therefore the Vote for Prajarajyam and Chiranjeevi is the same 35%.

As and when Chiranjeevi announces his State Level Party Office Bearers, Constituency Level Functionaries and the Candidates then the Voters will definitely vote differently.

If Chiranjeevi presents Personalities with a Poor Image then the Party Vote will fall from 35% and the 148 MLAs that Chiranjeevi could have won will shift to either the Telugu Desam Party or the Congress Party.

If Chiranjeevi and his near Relatives Allu Arvind, Nagababu, Pawan Kalyan spoil their image with activities of Money-Making or Uttering Voters-Repellant Statements then the 35% Vote that Chiranjeevi got will Nose Dive to knock out Chiranjeevi’s attempt to win the Government of Andhra Pradesh.

Chiranjeevi will therefore have to be extremely careful in the Quality of persons he appoints to Positions and as Candidates and will have to conduct himself in a manner that Voters increase the Vote-Share from 35% to a higher figure to increase his popularity and to win more MLAs.

Chiranjeevi has just begun.
Chiranjeevi is under observation by the Andhra Pradesh Voters!

Chiranjeevi has begun well but has a long way to go to catch up with the YSR Popularity among various sections of the Voters.

YSR SCORES MORE THAN HIS PARTY

YSR’s Congress Party got 40% of the Vote.
YSR got 65% of the Vote.

This is a definite indication that across Andhra Pradesh YSR is more popular than his Party by 25% of the Vote.

The Congress Party Functionaries at the Constituency Level and the sitting MLAs are individually less popular than YSR.

The Congress Party sitting MLAs and those aspiring to be congress Candidates in Constituencies with Non-Congress MLAs are dragging the Congress Party down.

State Congress President D.Srinivas must initiate a Surgical Exercise to weed out Functionaries, Ministers and MLAs who are bringing down the YSR percentage of 65% votes and replace them with Persons who will complement the YSR Image Pro-Voters Governmental Agenda.

The YSR Governmental Agenda has created a favourable image for YSR individually.

Irrigation, Power, Agriculture, Rural Development, Industrialisation, Hi-Tech Economy, Infrastructure, Welfare, Health and Programmes aimed at directly benefiting the Farmers, Women and the Poor have generated a huge Image for YSR.

Congress President Sonia has contributed in a large measure to solidifying the YSR image by blessing him with her complete backing to strengthen his Masses-Mobilisation Image.

Sonia will now have to Reshuffle the YSR Cabinet to drop all those Ministers who are causing a loss of Image for the Party-Government and are weighing down the popular support for YSR.

Sonia will also have to Replace more than 100 of the Sitting MLAs to prevent an erosion in the Congress Votes and a drop in the YSR Popularity.

Sonia must increase the acceptability and popularity of Congress Candidates to Rise to the YSR level of 65% from the current 40%.

A Sonia Surgery of the Congress System in Andhra Pradesh is the Only Way to ensure a Congress Victory in the May 2009 Assembly.

CHANDRABABU’S TELUGU DESAM COMEBACK

The Current Voter Mood in Andhra Pradesh is completely Polarised between Chief Minister YSR and Challenger Chiranjeevi.

The TDP and Chandrababu Naidu are facing a severe Identity Crisis and are currently absent on the Radar Screens of the Voters.

Chandrababu Naidu is a Terrific Organiser and will in the next few days initiate Strategies to return to Center Stage.

The Failure of Chiranjeevi in retaining his popularity, if it happens, will enable Chandrababu Naidu and his Telugu Desam Party to make a COMEBACK.

FINISHLINE

The 2009 Andhra Pradesh Elections will be a “WAR of STRATEGIES”.
The Policy Strategies, the Candidates Selection Strategies and the Creative Advertising Strategies.

Whoever among YSR, Chiranjeevi and Chandrababu Naidu designs and implements the Better Strategies will win the Government of Andhra Pradesh in May 2009!

(Send Comments to Politicsparty@gmail.com OR SMS to 9958976000)

“ANDHRA PRADESH VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL” PART ONE IS DISPLAYED BELOW

PRAJARAJYAM:148.CONG:140.OTH:6
SONIA CONG LOSING A.P. GOVT

CHIRANJEEVI BECOMING NEXT CM
 By P.R.SIDDHARTHA
02 SEPTEMBER 2008
 
 

Politicsparty.com conducted a Voter Attitude Poll in each of the 294 Assembly Constituencies in Andhra Pradesh on 30 Aug 2008 to understand the current mood of the voters and to Predict the May 2009 Assembly Elections Results. The Sample size was 1,000 in each of the 294 Constituencies.Thus 2,94,000 persons were polled across the State.

This Exercise by Politicsparty.com gives the current attitude of Andhra Pradesh Voters. We will repeat the Exercise Every Month.

Politicsparty.com PREDICTION FOR ANDHRA PRADESH

PARTY
VOTE %
294 MLAs ASSEMBLY
PRAJARAJYAM
35%
148 MLAs
CONGRESS
40%
140 MLAs
OTHERS
25%
006 MLAs

The Congress will get a higher percentage of Votes than the Prajarajyam but will win lesser Constituencies.
This has happened in other states like Karnataka where the BJP won more seats with lesser Votes than the Congress.

In Telangana the Chiranjeevi ability to win votes and seats is very low in comparison to the Coastal Andhra Region.

Congress-Prajarajyam Polarisation is squeezing out all other Political Parties.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that if the current attitude of Voters does not change by Voting Day, then the Sonia Congress is narrowly losing the Government of Andhra Pradesh in the May 2009 Assembly Elections.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that if the current attitude of Voters does not change by Voting Day, then the Chiranjeevi Prajarajyam is winning the Government of Andhra Pradesh in the May 2009 Assembly Elections.

HARE & TORTOISE RACE

The Andhra Pradesh Voters are as of now polarised between the New Political Hare Chiranjeevi and the veteran Political Tortoise Y.S.Rajasekhara Reddy.

In the Hare-Tortoise Race Folk Story, the Hare lost steam at the end to allow the Tortoise to win.

Will Ramoji’s Hare Chiranjeevi actually succeed in defeating Sonia’s Tortoise YSR in the May 2009 Andhra Pradesh Elections?

BETWEEN NOW AND MAY 2009

In the Next Eight Months the scenario will change dramatically depending upon the Strategies adopted by YSR, Chandrababu Naidu and Chiranjeevi.

CHIRANJEEVI

Chiranjeevi is at his Peak, Now, promising Better Governance than the Corrupt TDP and Corrupt Congress Governments.

The Media is building up the Chiranjeevi Bubble!
Will the Media carry Chiranjeevi in to the Polling Booths or Burst the Bubble just ahead of the Elections?

Chiranjeevi will find it extremely difficult to maintain this Peak Level if he continues to fumble by appointing “Criminals” later as Party Candidates.

YSR-SONIA

The Sonia Congress is in its worst situation right now but is shored up to be within striking distance, by the YSR Governmental Agenda.

Sonia will have to create a better image of the failed Central Government, to prevent burdening the Congress Re-Win Effort in Andhra Pradesh.

CHANDRABABU-TDP

Chandrababu Naidu Telugu Desam Party is devastated by the Polarisation of the YSR Governmental Agenda Votes and the Chiranjeevi Theatrics in Mopping Up of the Anti-Sonia Congress Votes and in generating a Frenzy among the Youth (18-40 Age Group).

Naidu must invent new strategies like promising a New State for Telangana to create a Hung Assembly and forge a Post-Poll Anti-Congress Coalition.

FAILED CENTRAL GOVERNMENT HARMS CONGRESS

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Sonia Congress is losing a lot of Votes because of the Manmohan Government Mis-Governance of the Economy and Internal Security and inflicting the Hindu Hurt by unwisely humiliating the Amarnath Devotees.

The “National Vote” in Andhra Pradesh, is thus being repelled by the Congress led Central Government.

CORRUPTION

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Andhra Pradesh Voters are sick of the Congress-TDP-TRS Systems’ Corruption and are keen to try a New System.

Voters are Angry in every constituency against the arrogant and brazen display of Corrupt Opulence by the Congress and the TDP Functionaries and Activists.

Identifying a Congress and TDP Activist in each Constituency, possessing Financial Integrity, Austerity, Morality and Devotion to redressing public grievances without benefit of Money is becoming impossible.

The Failure of the Political System to expose the Chiranjeevi-Allu Arvind-Nagababu-Pawan Kalyan Family evasion of Income Tax and profiting from the Blood Bank is helping the Prajarajyam.

VOTERS DESIRE: ALL DYNASTIES MUST DIE NASTY

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Andhra Pradesh Voters are nauseating against the pathetic concept of the Political Systems becoming the Private Properties of the Corrupt Families.

As symbolised by the Sonia-Rahul-Rajiv-Indira Dynasty Congress, the Chandrababu Naidu-NTR Dynasty TDP and the Chandrasekhara Rao Dynasty TRS.

The Failure of the Political System to expose the conversion of the Political Party, even before it was launched, in to a Private Family Property by the Chiranjeevi-Allu Arvind-Nagababu-Pawan Kalyan Dynasty is helping the Prajarajyam.

CHIRANJEEVI GAINS

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Chiranjeevi Prajarajyam is winning most of its MLAs from the Coastal Andhra Region from the Orissa Border to the South Coastal Border.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Chiranjeevi Prajarajyam is winning in a wave almost all the seats from the Orissa Border to Guntur.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Chiranjeevi Prajarajyam is swallowing the entire TDP-Communists-BJP Anti-Congress Votes in the Andhra-Rayalseema Region.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Chiranjeevi Prajarajyam is currently not winning seats in Telangana. But is splitting the Anti-Congress Votes decisively to facilitate Congress victories in many constituencies.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Chiranjeevi Prajarajyam is winning the Government of Andhra Pradesh if its Credibility remains intact until Polling Day.

YSR GOVERNANCE

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Sonia Congress is winning in a wave almost all the seats in Rayalseema.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Sonia Congress is winning most of the Seats in Telangana because of the Split in the Anti-Congress Votes.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Sonia Congress is within winning Range ONLY because of the Governmental Agenda of the YSR Government on Irrigation, Power, Agriculture, Rural Development, Rs 2 per kg of Rice, Welfare, Infrastructure, Law & Order and the Responsive Governance symbolised by the Chief Minister.

YSR-SRINIVAS CAMARADERIE

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Sonia Congress has never been so united at the State level and in each Constituency.

This is because of the Terrific Leadership demonstrated by the Chief Minister Y.S.Rajasekhara Reddy and the PCC President D.Srinivas.

Hence the Sonia Congress is not falling below 140 MLAs and is retaining an over 40 per cent Vote Base.

SONIA MUST CHANGE SITTING MLAs

Politicsparty.com Predicts that the Sonia Congress is losing most of its sitting MLAs and is winning in many Constituencies it did not win in 2004.

Politicsparty.com Predicts that if the Sonia Congress changes 100 of its Sitting MLAs then the YSR Government will return to Power in 2009.

FINISHLINE

Politicsparty.com Predicts that this Andhra Pradesh Assembly Elections will be a “Battle of Strategies”.

This will be the Credibility Battle of Policy, Candidates and Advertising Strategies.

Whoever conceives and implements better Strategies will win the Government of Andhra Pradesh in May 2009.

(Send Comments to politicsparty@gmail.com or SMS to +91-9958976000)
 
 
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