Politicsparty.com gauged the Voters' Mood after the May 2011 Uttar Pradesh Farmers' Agitation in the NOIDA Area-Western U.P., fuelled by the Mass-Action by the Farmers, the Lok Dal, the Samajwadi Party, the BJP and the Congress Party across the State.

The NOIDA Noise has NOT driven away the BSP's committed voters.

The combined attack on Mayawati, at NOIDA, by the BJP, Samajwadi Party, the Congress Party and the Lok Dal has energised the BSP voters to consolidate in a Big Manner, to make Mayawati stronger than before.

VOTERS' MOOD, NOW

Politicsparty.com VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL was held, to understand the Uttar Pradesh Voters' Attitude as on 17-18 MAY 2011.

10 Months from now, in March 2012, the Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections will be held, if Chief Minister Mayawati does not advance them to October 2011.

UTTAR PRADESH VOTERS' OPINION 2012

Politicsparty.com conducted a Voters Attitude Poll, in Uttar Pradesh, in all the 403 Assembly Constituencies, to understand the Voters' Mood, as of Now.

The Politicsparty.com Research Survey to gauge the Voters' Mood, was conducted over three Days during 17 May- 18 May 2011 .

100 Representative Assembly Constituencies, across the State of Uttar Pradesh were selected, based on the Results in the 2007 Assembly Elections and the 2009 Lok Sabha Elections.

A Random Sample of 200 (100 Men and 100 Women) Registered voters, were interviewed, in each Assembly Constituency.

The sample Interviewed for the Politicsparty.com Survey, accurately represents the Socio-Economic Demographic Profile of Men and Women, in all the Regions of Uttar Pradesh.

The Politicsparty.com Voters Attitude Poll in Uttar Pradesh, has been conducted by a Team of highly qualified specialist Psephologists with No Connectivity in Uttar Pradesh, with No Political Loyalties, Independent and possessing Professional Integrity.

POLLED QUESTION

The Voters in Uttar Pradesh, in this extensive politicsparty.com Voters Attitude Poll, on 17-18 MAY 2011, were asked the Question:

If the Elections to the Uttar Pradesh Assembly are held Today, Which Party will you vote for?

Politicsparty.com PRESENTS

UTTAR PRADESH VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL

17-18 MAY 2011

The Uttar Pradesh Assembly has 403 MLAs.

The Majority Figure is 202 MLAs.

The Politicsparty.com Uttar Pradesh Voters Attitude Poll 2011, Predicts, that, the BSP Chief Minister Mayawati will become the Chief Minister again, by winning a bigger majority in the 2012 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections, winning 250 of the 403 Assembly Seats.

CASTE COMPOSITION OF VOTERS

The Uttar Pradesh Demographic Caste-Community Figures Are:

Middle Caste: Jats 5%.

Upper Castes: 12%

(Brahmin 6%. Thakur 5%. Vysya 1%.)

Muslims: 18%.

SC: Dalits 25%.

OBC: 40%

(OBC-Yadav 12%. OBC-Kurmi 9%. OBC-Lodh 9%. Other Backward 10%.)

The Backward Classes constitute the Biggest Voting Block in Uttar Pradesh.

Since the Dalits are 100% with Mayawati, any Party that wants to defeat the BSP, to grab the Government, must woo the Backward Caste Votes in Uttar Pradesh.

Any Party that wins more than 30% of the Votes, in a Four Party Contest, will definitely Grab the Uttar Pradesh Government.

Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party, is the ONLY One, capable of mobilising more than 30% of the Votes.

CASTE SPREAD

The Caste Percentage, Varies in different Regions of Uttar Pradesh.

In Central and East Regions of Uttar Pradesh, there are No Jats. The Jats overall State Percentage is Low.

But in West Uttar Pradesh, in Each Assembly Constituency, in about 100 Constituencies, the Vote Percentage of Jats is over 20%.

The Yadavs, Lodhas and Kurmis too have their stronghold Districts.

There are many Constituencies with Low percentage of Muslims. There are many in which the Muslim Vote percentage is High.

The Dalits are evenly spread, thickly, about 25% in Each Assembly Constituency, across Uttar Pradesh.

The Upper Castes are spread too thinly across the State.

MAYAWATI

The Bahujan Samaj Party led by Chief Minister Mayawati, is wining the 2012 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections, with a bigger Majority than in 2007.

Muslims are voting in Big Numbers for Mayawati, in the next Assembly Elections.

Mayawati’s Vote Base of Dalits is Firmly with her.

The Dalit Votes are 100% Transferable by Mayawati.

Mayawati can and will deliver 100% of the Dalit Votes, to the BSP Candidate of any Other Caste.

Mayawati also gets the votes of the Upper Castes and OBC, in Constituencies where the BSP Candidate, is from the Upper Castes and the OBC.

The Muslims will vote for the BSP Candidates in 300 Constituencies, because the BSP is the Main Rival to the BJP. The Muslims will Not vote for the losing candidates of the Samajwadi Party and the Congress Party.

Mayawati is thus riding ahead of all others, to easily win the Uttar Pradesh Government again.

ANTI-CRIME

Mayawati has provided a Government which has completely uprooted the Goonda Raj and Gangsterism, that was the biggest evil of the Mulayam Regime.

Isolated incidents do happen, but overall there is satisfaction among voters across the State, that there is no danger in stirring out in the Night.

Ordinary Men and Women are pleased with the Mayawati regime crackdown against Musclemen, Extortionists, Kidnappers and Protection Rackets.

LOSING FORMULA

No Party can win Uttar Pradesh, with a Chief Minister Candidate from the Brahmin, Thakur, Kayastha, Vysya and Muslim Caste-Community.

The Upper Castes hate each other. The Upper castes will Not Vote for the Chief Minister candidate from the OTHER Upper caste.

The Dalits are 100% with Mayawati.

WINNING FORMULA

There is ONLY One Way to try to defeat the Mayawati led Bahujan Samaj Party.

The challenging Party must project a Credible OBC, who will not be perceived as Hostile to the Upper Castes, to win Uttar Pradesh.

Kalyan Singh has lost steam, by leaving the BJP, identifying with Mulayam and then returning to the BJP.

Mulayam has also lost the Bondage with the Muslims by flirting with Kalyan Singh.

Mulayam has lost the Electoral Clout by identifying with the scandalous Types like Amitabh Bachchan, Rich Businesmen and bed hopping Film Actresses.

Mulayam has recovered some ground after dumping his Pimp-Power Broker, but the damage done to the Mulayam Credibility has not yet been repaired.

Only if a Credible OBC Leader is projected as the Chief Minister Candidate, by the Congress Party, the BJP and the Samajwadi Party then there could be a serious challenge to Mayawati.

As of Now Mayawati is invincible in Uttar Pradesh.

The Bharatiya Janata Party is winning more seats in 2012, than in 2007, because of the Overall Bounce for the BJP across the Hindi Belt.

The Bihar Result is helping the BJP.

Hindus now believe that the BJP will Build the Ram Temple, if the BJP wins the Central Government.

The Allahabad High Court Verdict favouring the Ram Janma Bhoomi has activated Hindu Voters.

The Supreme Court Stay on the Allahabad High Court Verdict but continuing the Pooja for God Ram at Ayodhya has energised Hindus.

The Congress Central Government Scams Stink, is generating a wave of votes for the BJP, across the Hindi Belt.

BJP FAILURE

Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Bihar are OBC States.

The BJP-NDA won Bihar because it was led by the Credible OBC-Kurmi Leader Nitish Kumar, the huge Hindu Bounce for the BJP and the Muslims voting for both the JD-Nitish and the BJP Candidates.

The BJP won Madhya Pradesh because of OBC Leader Shivraj Singh Chauhan.

The BJP is Once again Losing in Uttar Pradesh, because of its Failure to project the Credible OBC Chief Minister Candidate, who could have mobilised the OBC Votes.

ADVANI OBC MAGIC

L.K.Advani won Uttar Pradesh for the BJP, with the Magic OBC Formula.

Advani sidelined all the Upper Caste Nominees, to project the most powerful OBC Icon Kalyan Singh.

Kalyan Singh ensured that the BJP won 55-60 Lok Sabha Seats and the State Government on its own.

The BJP captured the Central Government in 1998, ONLY because Kalyan Singh delivered almost 60 Lok Sabha Seats from Uttar Pradesh.

The Vajpayee led Brahmins-Thakurs destroyed Kalyan Singh.

The forced humiliating Exit of Kalyan Singh, brought the BJP to a Low of Third Place in the Assembly and just 10 of the 80 Lok Sabha Seats.

MODI TYPE OBC LEADER CAN WIN U.P. FOR BJP

The BJP can gain Seats in Uttar Pradesh, ONLY by identifying a Credible OBC Leader and projecting that Leader as the Chief Minister Candidate.

If an OBC Leader like Narendra Modi is Projected as the BJP’s Chief Minister Candidate in Uttar Pradesh, then the BJP will win more than 200 of the 403 Assembly Seats and more than 60 of the 80 Lok Sabha Seats.

But the BJP has Not Yet created a OBC Icon like Narendra Modi of Gujarat or Shivraj Singh Chauhan of Madhya Pradesh, in Uttar Pradesh.

If OBC Leader Uma Bharti is made a Voter from Uttar Pradesh and projected as the BJP's OBC Chief Minister Candidate, with aggressive campaigning by the Bihar Chief Minister Kurmi Nitish Kumar, then the BJP will do well.

The more that Nitish Kumar campaigns for the BJP, the more number of seats will be lost by Mulayam to the BJP.

Nitish, after the recent Bihar Victory, has become a Huge Icon for the OBCs, Kurmis and Muslims of Uttar Pradesh.

The BJP must give 200 of the 403 Assembly Seats to the Nitish Kumar Janata Dal, in Uttar Pradesh.

The BJP with Uma Bharti projected by Nitish Kumar, will win almost 175 Assembly Seats to come a Close Second to Mayawati’s BSP, wiping out Mulayam Singh Yadav and the Congress Party.

MULAYAM

The Samajwadi Party is losing Uttar Pradesh again.

Nitish Kumar campaigning for the BJP will evaporate most of Mulayam's OBC Votes.

Mulayam Singh Yadav has lost the Electoral Clout, because the OBC-Muslim Vote Base is no longer fixed to Mulayam.

The Muslims are divided between the SP, BSP, INC and Lok Dal.

No Dalit Votes for Mulayam.

The Kurmis have left Mulayam, to split between the BSP, INC and BJP.

The Yadavs alone, cannot give Mulayam Singh Yadav too many Seats.

Mulayam Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party, is losing more than half the Seats it won in 2007.

Mulayam has regained a lot of Lost Votes from 2009, but is still far from viability.

A Communal Polarisation of Hindus verses Muslims, can however suddenly swing the Muslims in a Wave towards Mulayam, to make the Samajwadi Party a Close Second to the winning Mayawati's BSP.

Mulayam has to conjure a Miracle Strategy to Communalise the Electoral Scenario, to try to re-capture the State Government.

Otherwise Uttar Pradesh will be easily Lost to Mayawati, again.

Mulayam must retire from the Chief Ministerial Race.

Mulayam must inject a younger Yadav as the Chief Minister Candidate.

Mulayam must project his son Akhilesh Yadav or One of his brothers, as the Chief Minister Candidate.

The Samajwadi Party led by a Young Yadav, will win almost 150 Assembly Seats, reducing the BJP Tally, but will NOT prevent the BSP from getting a Majority.

Sonia and Rahul must realise that the Congress Party is NOT viable in more than 300 of the 403 Constituencies.

Parachuting from New Delhi for a Demonstration, Protest and a Media Driven Exercise for a few days, will not sustain the Appeal.

The Congress Party needs a viable Candidate in Each Constituency, living in the Constituency, attending to Public Grievances Daily and spending Resources to maintain a work force.

Flying in from New Delhi for a few days then disappearing, will not glue the voters to the Congress Party.

Sonia and Rahul have wasted 7 years of Central Government, by NOT building Caste Leaders, to woo voters.

A dozen Union Ministers from different Castes should have been picked from Uttar Pradesh.

The Congress Party has NO Committed Votes of any Caste, in Uttar Pradesh.

Without the Vote Base of any Caste, it is impossible for the Congress Candidates to mobilise the more than 30% votes needed, to win in a 4 Way Contest.

The Central Government has also NOT taken up any Major Infrastructure Projects in Uttar Pradesh, in these 7 Years.

Sonia and Rahul have wasted the Central Government, for 7 years.

It is too Late, NOW, to influence the voters, just 10 months before the Elections.

THREE FACTORS DEFEATING CONGRESS

Sonia and Rahul have to Rectify Three Factors, before even attempting to Campaign in Uttar Pradesh.

Sonia and Rahul Campaigning, without solving the Three Factors, will ONLY repel more and more Voters, away from the Congress Party.

The Congress Party is Losing Uttar Pradesh, because of the under analysed THREE FACTORS.

FACTOR ONE: MANMOHAN SCAMS COLLAPSE CONG

There is a Revulsion against the Congress Party across the State because of the Stink of the Series of Huge Scams and the attempt to brazenly Cover-Up these Scams instead of recovering the Loot.

The CVC Thomas Scam, the 1 lakh Crores Hasan Ali Scam, the 1.5 Lakh Crores Commonwealth Games Scam, the 1.76 Lakh Crores Spectrum Scam, the 2 Lakh Crores S-Band ISRO-Space-DEVAS Scam and the Manmohan Government’s scandalous attitude in all these Scams is hurting the Congress Party.

The shameless Cover-Up of these Scams, to protect the Big Scamsters makes the Congress Party Stink of Scams.

The Figure of 1.76 Crores Loot in the 2G Spectrum Scam, has got fixed in the Brain of Every Voter.

The Tamilnadu Results are a Clear indication of the impact of the Scam Stink.

Voters are convinced, that the Congress led Central Government is protecting the Scamsters, in the Scams and not recovering the Lakhs of Crores of Loot.

The Voters are convinced that the Manmohan Government is shielding the corrupt and NOT recovering the Lakhs of Crores, looted in the Mega-Scams.

The failure of the Manmohan Government to quickly arrest the Scamsters, in the Hasan Ali Money Laundering Scam, the Commonwealth Games Scam and the Spectrum Scam, has caused the suffocating Scam Stink against the Congress Party, across Uttar Pradesh.

The Scam stink will murder the Congress Party in the 2012 Assembly Elections.

Voters of Uttar Pradesh are refusing to trust the Congress Party, with the Opportunity to Govern Uttar Pradesh, because the Manmohan Government is protecting the Spectrum-CWG Scamsters.

FACTOR TWO: MANMOHAN'S HIGH PRICES KILLS CONG

The Highly Unpopular Central Government, is killing the Congress Party in Uttar Pradesh, as it did in Bihar .

Voters are cursing the Congress Party, for allowing the Manmohan Government to continue to inflict High Prices.

There has been a 300% Increase in Prices, of Daily Use Commodities, in the 7 Years of failed Manmohan Mis-Governance.

The repeated Hike in Petrol and Diesel Prices, is making it impossible for the Working Classes and their families, to find the Money for the Basic Expenses of the Family.

Ordinary Voters are experiencing the “Impossible to manage Expenditure”, situation in Every Home, with Incomes being stagnant and expenditure increasing.

The Youth are angry, that Unemployment is at a Never Before High.

The Congress Party has also not channeled any Huge Infrastructure Projects. Thus there is No generation of Incomes and Employment Opportunities for the locals.

The Manmohan Government is perceived as a Cruel Devil by voters burdened with High Prices. Hence the Uttar Pradesh Voters are angry enough against the Manmohan Government’s High Prices, to vote in a Wave, against the Congress Party.

FACTOR THREE: CONGRESS LACKS "CM" MASCOT

Sonia and Rahul have Not learnt any lessons from the Bihar Wipe-Out.

The Voters will Not Vote in a Vacuum, for the Congress Party, that has no Credible Chief Minister Candidate.

The pathetic Failure of the Sonia-Rahul Leadership, to create a viable Chief Ministerial Candidate, is causing the Congress Collapse in Uttar Pradesh.

Voters do not want crazy Advertisement Campaigns and Empty Slogans.

Voters want the Congress Party to project the “Leader” who will be the Chief Minister.

The Congress Party needs the Chief Minister Candidate, who will be perceived to be capable of providing better Governance, than the Mascots of the Other Parties.

The Voters of Uttar Pradesh want to know, as to who will Govern Uttar Pradesh, if the Congress Party is given the Votes.

The Uttar Pradesh Voters are rejecting the incorrigible Congress Party, because it has No "Chief Ministerial" State Leader with connectivity with the Voters.

CONGRESS MIRACLE

If the Congress Party Replaces the Failed Manmohan Singh with a Popular-Effective-Voters' Sensitive Prime Minister and Projects an OBC Chief Minister Candidate, then the Uttar Pradesh Voters might Vote in a Wave for the Sonia-Rahul Congress.

Otherwise the Congress Party will not be able to cross the Single Digit Figure in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly.

If the BJP finds a Miracle OBC Leader to create a Wave, then BJP will overtake all obstacles of Tactical Voting by Muslims, to be a Close Second to the BSP.

Otherwise the BJP will fail to touch the Three Digit Figure of 100 MLAs.

If some Incident Triggers a Statewide Communal Fire among Muslims, then Mulayam Singh Yadav might shock Everybody, by winning more seats than the BJP.

Otherwise, the Samajwadi Party will be in the Third Place far behind the winner BSP and the BJP.

In the absence of the Above THREE Happenings, the Bahujan Samaj Party will surge ahead, unchallenged.

As of NOW, there is No credible Challenger to Mayawati.

The Bahujan Samaj Party led by Mayawati, will win the Huge Majority in the Assembly, to Once Again Capture the Uttar Pradesh State Government.

PREDICTION

Politicsparty.com VOTERS ATTITUDE POLL for Uttar Pradesh Predicts, as of Now, in May 2011, that:

The Bahujan Samaj Party President Mayawati, will Once Again become the Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister, of the Single Party Majority Government, after the 2012 Assembly Elections, by winning 250 of the 403 Assembly Constituencies.

( Politicsparty.com Has No Political Loyalties

and is Always committed to the Truth. )