|
TEN FACTORS DECIDE KERALA WINNER
The End Result of the 2011 Kerala Assembly Elections will depend on the following TEN Factors:
ONE: 30 SEATS HOLD KEY TO GOVT
Kerala has 140 Assembly Constituencies.
The Communists led Left Democratic Front will surely win, 55 Stronghold Seats.
The Congress Party led United Democratic Front will definitely win 55 Stronghold Seats.
110 of the 140 Assembly Constituencies, are Literally won by the LDF and the UDF, even before the Votes are Polled.
The LDF verses UDF Fight is in the 30 Swing Constituencies, wherein the Voters will make up their mind, on the eve of the Polling Day.
Whoever among the LDF and the UDF wins these 30 Swing Seats, will grab the State Government of Kerala on 13 May 2011 , Counting Day.
TWO: MUSLIMS-CHRISTIANS COMMUNAL POLARITY
The accurate Assessment of the Demography of the Kerala Electorate, indicates that 44% of the Kerala Voters are Muslims and Christians.
Muslims are 22% and Christians are 22% of the Kerala Voters.
Every Muslim and Every Christian, other than those fielded by the Communists as Candidates, will 100% Vote for the Congress Party led United Democratic Front.
The UD Front has the Muslim League that gets all the Muslims to vote for the UDF.
The Front has the Kerala Congress, a Party of ONLY Roman Catholics. The Kerala Congress and the Sonia Congress will get 100% votes of all the Christians.
If even 6% Hindus vote for the UDF then the UDF will defeat the Left Democratic Front to grab the Kerala Government.
THREE: HINDU REACTION
There is a massive under current of Hindu Reaction to the Muslim-Christian Polarisation for the Congress Party led United Democratic Front.
The Hindus are in a reaction, veering towards the Communists.
The Congress Party Leaders can easily spoil the UDF Victory, if they indulge in Anti-Hindu Rhetoric, to communally appease the Christians-Muslims.
There is no need for the UDF Speakers, to appease the Christians-Muslims, because they are already voting 100% for the UDF.
If the UDF Loudmouths needlessly, unwisely and arrogantly indulge in Communal Speeches, to hurt the Hindu Sentiment, then in reaction, there will be a flood of Hindu Votes to the Left Democratic Front.
If the Hindus Polarise massively against the Christian-Muslim Polarisation for the UDF, then the Communists will inch to overtake the UDF to retain the Government.
FOUR: WRONG CANDIDATES
The UDF Bosses of Each Party in the Congress Party led Front are assuming that the Result, is a Foregone Conclusion in the UDF favour.
The UDF Bosses are lobbying to install their Non-Electable Cronies as Candidates, by sidelining the Local-Popular-Winning Candidates.
The Cronies of the UDF Bosses will Lose, because those denied the Candidature will divert the UDF Votes to the LDF Candidates.
The UDF Bosses in Each Party are also trying to field Christian and Muslim Candidates, in Constituencies wherein the Mood is in favour of the Hindu Candidates.
If the UDF fields Hindu Candidates, then these seats will be easily won by the UDF.
If the UDF fields Muslims and Christians in the Hindu Seats, then these seats will be gifted away to the Communists.
If the UDF Bosses spoil the Picking Process by picking the Wrong candidates, then seats that the UDF must win will be gifted to the LDF.
FIVE: ACHUTANANDAN OR DEFEAT!
The Biggest Positive of the Left Democratic Front is the Honest Image of the Chief Minister V.S.Achutanandan.
If the LDF projects Achutanandan as the Clean Crusader, against the Scams Filled Manmohan Government, then the Voters will swing towards the LDF.
The Corrupt national Boss of the CPM Prakash Karat and the Corrupt State Boss of the CPM Pinarayi Vijayan, are hated across Kerala, as the Devils of Corruption.
The Party is completely dominated by the Corrupt Pinarayi Vijayan.
All the 140 Candidates will be hand picked by the Corrupt Pinarayi Vijayan.
Pinarayi Vijayan has the 100% support of Prakash Karat.
Pinarayi Vijayan and Prakash Karat are more obsessed in destroying the Clean Chief Minister V.S.Achutanandan, than in destroying their Corrupt Collaborators in the Congress Party and the UDF.
If the LDF humiliates Achutanandan, then the LDF will LOSE the Elections and the Government, in a Wave Defeat.
FACTOR SIX: LIARS MANMOHAN & CHAVAN
The Supreme Court Removal of the CVC Thomas has blackened the Congress Party across Kerala.
Manmohan Singh's Principal Secretary is a Keralite called Nair.
Manmohan Singh's Cabinet Secretary is a Keralite called Chandrasekhar.
Manmohan Singh's Home Secretary is a Keralite called G.K.Pillai.
Manmohan Singh's National Security Adviser is a Keralite called Menon.
The tainted CVC Thomas is a Keralite.
All the above Keralites, knew that CVC Thomas is under investigation in the Palm Oil Import Case.
All these Keralites had informed Manmohan, that Thomas is Tainted with Palm Oil Stink.
Every Voter in Kerala believes that Manmohan is a Horrible Liar, after he shamelessly Lied, that he did not know that there was a Palm Oil Corruption Case in the Court against CVC Thomas.
Manmohan Singh, Prithviraj Chauhan, Nair and the Congress Party have exposed themselves as facilitators of Scams, Corruption and of being shameless Liars.
If Manmohan had resigned, Prithviraj Chauhan was sacked and Nair was Kicked Out of the Prime Minister's Office, then the Congress Party would have been forgiven by the Kerala Voters.
FACTOR SEVEN: CORRUPT NAIR SPOILS CONG IMAGE
Every Voter in Kerala believes that the Prime Minister's Principal Secretary P.K.Nair is Corrupt and is protecting Not just Thomas but also the Corrupt Lottery Mafia in Kerala, by preventing the CBI Arrest of the Lottery Mafia Dons.
Nair has NOT allowed the CBI to Investigate-Arrest-Prosecute the Lottery Mafia, though the Clean Chief Minister V.S.Achutanandan has requested the Prime Minister to quickly initiate a cBI Prosection of the Lottery Mafia Dons.
The Malayalam Media is full of the Huge Corruption by Nair.
Nair and the Prime Minister's Office symbolises Scams and Corruption.
If Nair is sacked then the Voters will believe that the Congress Party is Not part of the Nair Corruption.
FACTOR EIGHT: AGAINST CORRUPT OR FOR COMMUNAL?
The High Prices inflicted on Ordinary Voters by the Manmohan Government has angered many Voters.
The Scams Facilitated by the Manmohan Government and the Naked Cover-Up of the Scams to protect the Scamsters has destroyed the Credibility of the Congress Party.
If the Voters swallow their anger, to communally vote as Christians and Muslims, then the Congress Party led UDF will easily win the Kerala Elections to form the State Government.
If the Kerala Voters Vote in accordance with their anger against the High prices-Scams of the Manmohan Government, then the LDF will squeeze through to a Narrow Victory.
FACTOR NINE: CHIEF MINISTER OF UDF
If the UDF projects a Chief Minister Candidate, by projecting any particular Christian, then there will be a huge Reaction from the other Christian Aspirants, angering them to sabotage the Winning Prospects, of the “Crony Candidates” of the projected Chief Minister Candidate.
If the UDF does NOT project any Chief Minister Candidate, then all the factions in the Congress Party will work unitedly, to ensure that the UDF defeats the LDF to capture the Kerala Government.
FACTOR TEN: 30 MAKE-BREAK CONSTITUENCIES
The Victory and Defeat of the LDF and the UDF, will be decisively determined, by the Combined Effect of the above Eight Factors, on the Minds of the Voters in the 30 of the 140, undecided MAKE-BREAK Constituencies.
Whoever puts Better Candidates, Campaigns More Aggressively, Spends More Money, Mobilises More Voters on Polling Day and swings the Voters in these 30 Make-Break Undecided Constituencies will win the Majority in the Assembly Elections and will win the State Government.
FINISHLINE
The Media, the UDF and the unattached believe that the UDF is winning a Majority in the Kerala Assembly Elections.
The Voters of Kerala will tell us ONLY on 13 May 2011, as to who among the Defence Minister-Sonia Loyalist A.K.Antony Led UDF and the "Confusion Led" LDF, will actually Capture the Kerala Government. |