Politicsparty.com SURVEY

Politicsparty.com Bases this Analysis on the 2011-MAY Assam Assembly Elections, on Survey Inputs from the 126 Assembly Constituencies in Assam , conducted on 8-9 February 2011.

Assam has 1 Crore 81 Lakhs 45 Thousand 914 Voters, for the 2011-May Assam Assembly Elections.

CONGRESS IS LOSING ASSAM

The Indian National Congress Party is about to lose the State Government of Assam , in the MAY-2011 Assam Assembly Elections.

The Assam Voters will throw the Corrupt Tarun Gogoi misled Congress Party Government in to the Brahmaputra River .

2011 PREDICTION BY Politicsparty.com

The Indian National Congress will win 25 Assembly Constituencies.

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will win 75 Assembly Constituencies, out of the 126 Assembly Constituencies in Assam , to win a Clear Majority in the Assam Assembly.

HINDU ASSAM

Assam was traditionally a Hindu Majority State, with just 5% of its Voters being Muslims.

The Anti-India Policies on the Indian National Congress has degenerated the overwhelmingly Hindu Majority Character of Assam , to 65% Hindus and 35% Muslims.

SCREWED ASSAM

A Communal Muslim from Assam called Fakhruddin Ali Ahmed from the INC became the President of India in 1972.

Fakhruddin forced the Indira Government to allow lakhs of Bangladesh Muslims to cross the border illegally in to Assam .

Fakhruddin got the Assam Government to issue Ration Cards and Enrol as the Voters the Illegal Muslim Migrants from Bangladesh .

Fakhruddin and the INC inflicted the Biggest Ever Demographic Invasion of any Country, by flooding Assam with Muslims from Bangladesh .

The Demographic Invasion has resulted in a Scenario, wherein the Bangladesh Muslims Now constitute 40% of the Assam Voters.

AGP

The Assam Gana Parishad was a Party created by Students fighting against the Demographic Invasion of Assam .

The AGP defeated the INC in the assembly Elections to capture the State Government. Prafulla Kumar Mahanta became the Chief Minister.

Mahanta messed up the Opportunity by indulging in Corruption.

The AGP was defeated in the next Elections.

The AGP utilised the Coalition Era, to become part of the United Front Governments in 1996 and 1997 in the Central Government.

The AGP later became an Alliance Partner of the BJP.

The AGP-BJP Alliance failed to capture the state Government because of the high Bangladesh Muslim Population voting against it.

MUSLIMS

The Bangladesh Muslims have Now become Third Generation Voters.

The Muslims have recently formed a Party of Muslims called the Assam United Democratic Front, the AUDF. Its Leader is Badruddin Ajmal.

The AUDF represents the Muslims of Assam .

The Muslims feel that they have been voting for the INC in Every Election, to prevent the BJP from capturing the state Government, but the INC has done nothing for the Welfare of the Muslims.

The Muslims are frustrated with the arrogance, insensitivity and failure of the INC to serve the Muslims.

HINDUS

The AGP represents the Hindus of Assam

The BJP is not able to deliver enough votes for the AGP to capture the Government.

The AGP therefore wants to break alliance with the BJP.

The AGP is planning to try a New Experiment, to capture the State Government.

NEW ALLIANCE

The AUDF and the AGP are Now negotiating an Alliance .

The AUDF and the AGP are keen on marginalising the INC.

NUMBERS IN 2006

Assam has 126 Assembly Constituencies.

The Majority Figure is 64 MLAs.

In the 2006 Assembly Elections the Party Position was:

The INC fabricated a Majority by buying the Independent 22 MLAs.

The INC lost the 2006 Elections but captured the Assam Government by creating a Post-Poll Majority.

AGP-AUDF ALLIANCE

The Assam Gana Parishad and the Assam United Democratic Front are Now likely to create the New Alliance , in a bid to Capture the State Government in the MAY-2011 Elections.

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will be Anti-INC and Anti-BJP.

SEATS-SHARE

The AGP and the AUDF Leaders are Negotiating the Seats Share and the probable Power Share.

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will be Announced in March 2011.

The AGP-AUDF Seats-Share is likely to be:

The AGP will contest 70% of the Seats.

The AUDF will Contest 30% of the Seats.

The AGP and the AUDF will be successful in transferring their Votes to each Other in all the Assembly Constituencies.

POWER SHARE

If the AGP-AUDF Alliance wins the Elections to form the Assam Government then the Power share will be:

The Number of Ministers will be 15% of the 126 MLAs in the Assam Assembly. There will be 18 Ministers including the Chief Minister and the Deputy Chief Minister.

The AGP and the AUDF will share the Number of Minister Positions in proportion to the Percentage of their MLAs.

The AUDF Leader will become the Deputy Chief Minister.

The AGP Leader will become the Chief Minister.

MANMOHAN DEFEATS CONGRESS

The Indian National Congress is Losing the Government in the MAY-2011 Assembly Elections because:

The Manmohan Government’s Failure to prevent High Prices of Fuel and essential commodities has angered most of the Voters to vote against the INC.

The Scams Filled Manmohan Government’s Corrupt Image, has created a Stink so unbearable that Voters are being repelled away from the INC.

The Corrupt and High Prices Mis-Governace by Manmohan is defeating the INC in Assam .

GOGOI DEFEATING CONGRESS In ASSAM

The Indian National Congress is Losing the Government in the MAY-2011 Assembly Elections because:

The Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi has proved to be the Most Corrupt Chief Minister in Assam History

The Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi has proved to be the Most Debaucherous Chief Minister in Assam History. Gogoi gives Rajya Sabha, MLA and Governmental Positions in Barter Deals for Sex.

Assam is sick of the Sex Maniac Chief Minister Gogoi.

The Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi has proved to be the Most Corrupt Chief Minister in Assam History.

Gogoi and his Ministers have plundered thousands of crores in the Name of Delivering to Congress Bosses at New Delhi, but swallowing most of the Crores.

Assam is infuriated at the Gogoi Corruption.

The Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi has proved to be the Most Incompetent Chief Minister in Assam History.

Gogoi has wasted 10 Years of Power, enjoying Life as any Caligula would do.

Gogoi has completely neglected Infrastructure, Development, Welfare, Services and all Sections of Governance.

Assam Voters are waiting to throw out the Anti-People Tarun Gogoi led Congress Party Government.

Tarun Gogoi Mis-Governance and Corruption, Combined with the failure of the Manmohan Government, is defeating the Congress Party in Assam .

PREDICTION FOR INC

Politicsparty.com Predictions for INC for the MAY-2011 Assam Assembly Elections:

The Indian National Congress Vote Share will fall below 25% of the Total Votes.

The Indian National Congress Government headed by Tarun Gogoi will Lose the Government.

PREDICTION FOR AGP-AUDF ALLIANCE

Politicsparty.com Predictions for the AGP-AUDF Alliance for the MAY-2011 Assam Assembly Elections:

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will win a Vote Share of More than 35% of the Total Votes.

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will win a Majority.

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will win 75 Assembly Constituencies out of the 126 Assembly Constituencies to win a Clear Majority in the Assam Assembly.

The AUDF Leader will be the Deputy Chief Minister, after the MAY-2011 Assam Assembly Elections.

The Assam Gana Parishad Leader will be the Chief Minister, after the MAY-2011 Assam Assembly Elections.

FINISHLINE

The AGP-AUDF Coalition Government in Assam will be Stable.

The AGP-AUDF Alliance will convert the Hate Atmosphere in Assam , in to perfect Communal Harmony.